Detecting DeFi Risk, Before It Breaks
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Rating Screen · Methodology v1.1

Venus

Lending · XVS · $1.1B TVL. Screen grades as of November 12, 2026: Solvency A, Legitimacy BB, Growth CCC. BNB lender; 2021 LUNA bad-debt episode; since recapitalized.

Data As Of November 12, 2026 Methodology v1.1 (screen, provisional) Previous Screen July 27, 2026 Caps Triggered 0
SolvencyCREDIT GRADE
A
71 / 100
Will it survive and pay users back?
Legitimacy
BB
58.5 / 100
Is it real, credible, delivering its stated aim?
GrowthOUTLOOK
CCC
28.8 / 100
Adoption toward the protocol's own goal, peer-relative.
Re-screen · November 12, 2026

What Changed Since July 27, 2026

Input / GradeJuly 27, 2026November 12, 2026
TVL$1B$1.1B
12-month TVL change-20%-38%
Worst 90-day drawdown30%22%
Drawdown scored30% (90-day only, v1.0)38% (worse of 90-day and 12-month, v1.1)
Solvency (credit grade)A · 71A · 71
GrowthB · 35.8CCC · 28.8

TVL figures: DefiLlama, parent-level listing. The July 27, 2026 TVL was an analyst estimate and may have used a narrower definition, so part of the TVL difference can be definitional. Only these three inputs were refreshed in the re-screen; sustainability, unlocks, risk, audits, team, delivery, governance, category share and momentum were left as the July 27, 2026 estimates.

Axis I · Credit Grade

Solvency — A

Solvency screens at A (71 / 100), unchanged from the July 27, 2026 screen. The worst 90-day TVL drawdown is 22% and 12-month TVL change is -38%. TVL stability is scored on the 12-month decline of 38%, because it is worse than the latest 90 days. Sustainability ratio (2x), unlock pressure (3%) and risk quality (6 / 10) are carried over from July 27, 2026.

Solvency ScorecardA
MetricRawNormalizedWeightWeighted
Sustainability ratio (revenue / emissions)2x
30%24
Does it earn more than it prints? Above 1x is self-sustaining.
TVL stability (worse of 90-day drawdown and 12-month decline)38%
25%16.3
Bank-run indicator. Worst 90-day drawdown 22%, 12-month TVL change -38%; the worse of the two is scored, so a calm quarter cannot erase a long decline.
Unlock pressure (next 12 months)3%
15%12.8
Incoming insider sell pressure vs circulating supply.
Risk quality (collateral, oracle, exploit posture)6 / 10
30%18
Combined collateral quality, price-feed dependence, and loss history.
FINAL DIMENSION SCORE71 → A
Axis II · Legitimacy Score

Legitimacy — BB

Legitimacy screens at BB (58.5 / 100). No Legitimacy input was refreshed in the November 12, 2026 re-screen, so the grade is unchanged from July 27, 2026.

Legitimacy ScorecardBB
MetricRawNormalizedWeightWeighted
Audit coverage7 / 10
25%17.5
Code credibility: firms, recency, findings resolved.
Team & transparency6 / 10
25%15
Doxxed vs anonymous; track record; disclosure quality.
Delivery vs stated roadmap7 / 10
20%14
Does shipped product match the promise? The core legitimacy test.
Governance & decentralization4 / 10
30%12
Real distributed control vs theater; participation quality.
FINAL DIMENSION SCORE58.5 → BB
Axis III · Growth Outlook

Growth — CCC

Growth screens at CCC (28.8 / 100), previously B in the July 27, 2026 screen. TVL is $1.1B, -38% over twelve months (it was -20% at the previous screen). Category share (4%) and momentum (4 / 10) are carried over from July 27, 2026.

Growth ScorecardCCC
MetricRawNormalizedWeightWeighted
TVL 12-month trend-38%
35%8.8
Adoption of the core product, in absolute terms.
Category market share4%
30%6
Peer-relative position: winning or losing its niche.
Momentum & users4 / 10
35%14
Usage trajectory and integration growth, filtered for incentives.
FINAL DIMENSION SCORE28.8 → CCC
Verdict

Where Venus Lands

The credit grade is Solvency A. Legitimacy is BB and the Growth outlook is CCC; the weakest axis is Growth. These grades use TVL data as of November 12, 2026 and qualitative inputs from July 27, 2026.

Credit Grade — Solvency
A
71 / 100

The credit grade answers one question: can Venus survive stress and pay its users back. Legitimacy (BB) and the Growth outlook (CCC) are published beside it and are never averaged into it. Weakest axis: Growth.

Analyst Note
BNB lender; 2021 LUNA bad-debt episode; since recapitalized.
Screen vs full rating. This is Methodology v1.1 applied in screening form: the same bands, weights, caps and grade scale as the full Aave workbook (with the v1.1 change to TVL stability described above), reduced to the highest-signal metrics per dimension so the whole universe stays comparable in one table. Screen grades are provisional. A full rating — per-metric sourcing plus four stress scenarios — is produced when a protocol is selected for publication. TVL, 12-month TVL change and 90-day drawdown are from DefiLlama, parent-level listing as of November 12, 2026; every other input is an analyst estimate as of July 27, 2026, drawn from public data (DefiLlama, protocol docs, governance forums, rekt.news) and judgment, and should be verified before being relied upon.
Lending Peers
ProtocolSolvencyLegitimacyGrowth
Venus (this page)ABBCCC
AaveAAABB
MorphoAAAA
JustLendABBBBB
SparkAABB
KaminoBBBBBBB
CompoundBBBAB
SuilendBBBBCCC
EulerBBAB
BenqiBBBBBCCC
NAVIBBBCCC
MoonwellBBBBBCCC

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Analyst Commentary · July 27, 2026

Background From The Previous Screen

Dated commentary. Written for the July 27, 2026 screen under Methodology v1.0. Figures and grades quoted in it are as of that date. Where they differ from the scorecards above, the scorecards are current.

Overview

Venus is BNB Chain's principal money market, a lending staple that has operated continuously since 2020 — including through a defining 2021 stress event, when a LUNA listing and an XVS price manipulation produced significant bad debt the protocol subsequently recapitalized.

Solvency

Solvency screens at A on current numbers: 2x fee coverage, moderate drawdown, light unlocks. The 6/10 risk score is where history lives — the bad-debt episode revealed listing-governance and oracle weaknesses that have since been rebuilt with isolated pools and stricter risk parameters.

Legitimacy

Legitimacy screens at BB. Audits are adequate, but team continuity has been choppy across the protocol's ownership history, and governance (4/10) remains concentrated in the BNB ecosystem's orbit. The recapitalization is genuinely creditable; the framework still remembers why it was needed.

Growth

Growth screens at B: 4% share, TVL down ~20%, modest momentum tied to BNB Chain's own gravity. Multichain expansion has broadened the surface without changing the trajectory.

Verdict

Composite B. A survivor with scar tissue — recapitalized, restructured, and ecosystem-bound. A full rating would test whether the post-2021 risk framework holds against a correlated BNB-market stress.