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Rating Screen · Methodology v1.1

Moonwell

Lending · WELL · $0.01B TVL. Screen grades as of November 12, 2026: Solvency BB, Legitimacy BBB, Growth CCC. Base/Optimism lender; consumer-app angle.

Data As Of November 12, 2026 Methodology v1.1 (screen, provisional) Previous Screen July 27, 2026 Caps Triggered 0
SolvencyCREDIT GRADE
BB
52.5 / 100
Will it survive and pay users back?
Legitimacy
BBB
66.5 / 100
Is it real, credible, delivering its stated aim?
GrowthOUTLOOK
CCC
23.5 / 100
Adoption toward the protocol's own goal, peer-relative.
Re-screen · November 12, 2026

What Changed Since July 27, 2026

Input / GradeJuly 27, 2026November 12, 2026
TVL$0.3B$0.01B
12-month TVL change-25%-92%
Worst 90-day drawdown40%80%
Drawdown scored40% (90-day only, v1.0)92% (worse of 90-day and 12-month, v1.1)
Solvency (credit grade)BB · 58.8BB · 52.5
GrowthCCC · 28.8CCC · 23.5

TVL figures: DefiLlama, parent-level listing. The July 27, 2026 TVL was an analyst estimate and may have used a narrower definition, so part of the TVL difference can be definitional. Only these three inputs were refreshed in the re-screen; sustainability, unlocks, risk, audits, team, delivery, governance, category share and momentum were left as the July 27, 2026 estimates.

Axis I · Credit Grade

Solvency — BB

Solvency screens at BB (52.5 / 100), unchanged from the July 27, 2026 screen. The worst 90-day TVL drawdown is 80% and 12-month TVL change is -92%. TVL stability is scored on the 12-month decline of 92%, because it is worse than the latest 90 days. Sustainability ratio (1.5x), unlock pressure (5%) and risk quality (7 / 10) are carried over from July 27, 2026.

Solvency ScorecardBB
MetricRawNormalizedWeightWeighted
Sustainability ratio (revenue / emissions)1.5x
30%18
Does it earn more than it prints? Above 1x is self-sustaining.
TVL stability (worse of 90-day drawdown and 12-month decline)92%
25%3.8
Bank-run indicator. Worst 90-day drawdown 80%, 12-month TVL change -92%; the worse of the two is scored, so a calm quarter cannot erase a long decline.
Unlock pressure (next 12 months)5%
15%9.8
Incoming insider sell pressure vs circulating supply.
Risk quality (collateral, oracle, exploit posture)7 / 10
30%21
Combined collateral quality, price-feed dependence, and loss history.
FINAL DIMENSION SCORE52.5 → BB
Axis II · Legitimacy Score

Legitimacy — BBB

Legitimacy screens at BBB (66.5 / 100). No Legitimacy input was refreshed in the November 12, 2026 re-screen, so the grade is unchanged from July 27, 2026.

Legitimacy ScorecardBBB
MetricRawNormalizedWeightWeighted
Audit coverage7 / 10
25%17.5
Code credibility: firms, recency, findings resolved.
Team & transparency8 / 10
25%20
Doxxed vs anonymous; track record; disclosure quality.
Delivery vs stated roadmap7 / 10
20%14
Does shipped product match the promise? The core legitimacy test.
Governance & decentralization5 / 10
30%15
Real distributed control vs theater; participation quality.
FINAL DIMENSION SCORE66.5 → BBB
Axis III · Growth Outlook

Growth — CCC

Growth screens at CCC (23.5 / 100), unchanged from the July 27, 2026 screen. TVL is $0.01B, -92% over twelve months (it was -25% at the previous screen). Category share (1.2%) and momentum (4 / 10) are carried over from July 27, 2026.

Growth ScorecardCCC
MetricRawNormalizedWeightWeighted
TVL 12-month trend-92%
35%3.5
Adoption of the core product, in absolute terms.
Category market share1.2%
30%6
Peer-relative position: winning or losing its niche.
Momentum & users4 / 10
35%14
Usage trajectory and integration growth, filtered for incentives.
FINAL DIMENSION SCORE23.5 → CCC
Verdict

Where Moonwell Lands

The credit grade is Solvency BB. Legitimacy is BBB and the Growth outlook is CCC; the weakest axis is Growth. These grades use TVL data as of November 12, 2026 and qualitative inputs from July 27, 2026.

Credit Grade — Solvency
BB
52.5 / 100

The credit grade answers one question: can Moonwell survive stress and pay its users back. Legitimacy (BBB) and the Growth outlook (CCC) are published beside it and are never averaged into it. Weakest axis: Growth.

Analyst Note
Base/Optimism lender; consumer-app angle.
Screen vs full rating. This is Methodology v1.1 applied in screening form: the same bands, weights, caps and grade scale as the full Aave workbook (with the v1.1 change to TVL stability described above), reduced to the highest-signal metrics per dimension so the whole universe stays comparable in one table. Screen grades are provisional. A full rating — per-metric sourcing plus four stress scenarios — is produced when a protocol is selected for publication. TVL, 12-month TVL change and 90-day drawdown are from DefiLlama, parent-level listing as of November 12, 2026; every other input is an analyst estimate as of July 27, 2026, drawn from public data (DefiLlama, protocol docs, governance forums, rekt.news) and judgment, and should be verified before being relied upon.
Lending Peers
ProtocolSolvencyLegitimacyGrowth
Moonwell (this page)BBBBBCCC
AaveAAABB
MorphoAAAA
JustLendABBBBB
SparkAABB
KaminoBBBBBBB
CompoundBBBAB
VenusABBCCC
SuilendBBBBCCC
EulerBBAB
BenqiBBBBBCCC
NAVIBBBCCC

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Analyst Commentary · July 27, 2026

Background From The Previous Screen

Dated commentary. Written for the July 27, 2026 screen under Methodology v1.0. Figures and grades quoted in it are as of that date. Where they differ from the scorecards above, the scorecards are current.

Overview

Moonwell is a Compound-lineage lending protocol on Base and Optimism that has staked its differentiation on consumer accessibility — clean app design, fiat on-ramps, and mobile-first distribution aimed at users who would never navigate a raw money market.

Solvency

Solvency screens at BB. Fee coverage (~1.5x) from a small base, a 40% drawdown, and moderate unlocks. The 7/10 risk score benefits from a conservative forked codebase with a long audit lineage — inheriting Compound's architecture is a genuine safety advantage at this size.

Legitimacy

Legitimacy screens at BBB: a public, communicative team, adequate audits, steady delivery of the consumer product roadmap. Governance (5/10) functions but with limited participation.

Growth

Growth screens at CCC on the screen's inputs — 1.2% category share is the smallest in the universe — against a relatively contained -25% TVL and 4/10 momentum. The consumer thesis targets a market the screen's metrics cannot see.

Verdict

Composite CCC. The screen measures DeFi-native share, which is precisely the wrong lens for a protocol trying to reach non-DeFi users. A full rating would need user-cohort data — retention and fiat-funded deposits — to judge whether the consumer angle is working.