Detecting DeFi Risk, Before It Breaks
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Rating Screen · Methodology v1.1

Compound

Lending · COMP · $1.3B TVL. Screen grades as of November 12, 2026: Solvency BBB, Legitimacy A, Growth B. Blue-chip codebase; development pace and mindshare fading vs Aave/Morpho.

Data As Of November 12, 2026 Methodology v1.1 (screen, provisional) Previous Screen July 27, 2026 Caps Triggered 0
SolvencyCREDIT GRADE
BBB
67 / 100
Will it survive and pay users back?
Legitimacy
A
72.5 / 100
Is it real, credible, delivering its stated aim?
GrowthOUTLOOK
B
31.3 / 100
Adoption toward the protocol's own goal, peer-relative.
Re-screen · November 12, 2026

What Changed Since July 27, 2026

Input / GradeJuly 27, 2026November 12, 2026
TVL$1.2B$1.3B
12-month TVL change-25%-42%
Worst 90-day drawdown30%24%
Drawdown scored30% (90-day only, v1.0)42% (worse of 90-day and 12-month, v1.1)
Solvency (credit grade)A · 73.3BBB · 67
GrowthB · 31.3B · 31.3

TVL figures: DefiLlama, parent-level listing. The July 27, 2026 TVL was an analyst estimate and may have used a narrower definition, so part of the TVL difference can be definitional. Only these three inputs were refreshed in the re-screen; sustainability, unlocks, risk, audits, team, delivery, governance, category share and momentum were left as the July 27, 2026 estimates.

Axis I · Credit Grade

Solvency — BBB

Solvency screens at BBB (67 / 100), previously A in the July 27, 2026 screen. The worst 90-day TVL drawdown is 24% and 12-month TVL change is -42%. TVL stability is scored on the 12-month decline of 42%, because it is worse than the latest 90 days. Sustainability ratio (1.5x), unlock pressure (1%) and risk quality (8 / 10) are carried over from July 27, 2026.

Solvency ScorecardBBB
MetricRawNormalizedWeightWeighted
Sustainability ratio (revenue / emissions)1.5x
30%18
Does it earn more than it prints? Above 1x is self-sustaining.
TVL stability (worse of 90-day drawdown and 12-month decline)42%
25%10
Bank-run indicator. Worst 90-day drawdown 24%, 12-month TVL change -42%; the worse of the two is scored, so a calm quarter cannot erase a long decline.
Unlock pressure (next 12 months)1%
15%15
Incoming insider sell pressure vs circulating supply.
Risk quality (collateral, oracle, exploit posture)8 / 10
30%24
Combined collateral quality, price-feed dependence, and loss history.
FINAL DIMENSION SCORE67 → BBB
Axis II · Legitimacy Score

Legitimacy — A

Legitimacy screens at A (72.5 / 100). No Legitimacy input was refreshed in the November 12, 2026 re-screen, so the grade is unchanged from July 27, 2026.

Legitimacy ScorecardA
MetricRawNormalizedWeightWeighted
Audit coverage9 / 10
25%22.5
Code credibility: firms, recency, findings resolved.
Team & transparency8 / 10
25%20
Doxxed vs anonymous; track record; disclosure quality.
Delivery vs stated roadmap6 / 10
20%12
Does shipped product match the promise? The core legitimacy test.
Governance & decentralization6 / 10
30%18
Real distributed control vs theater; participation quality.
FINAL DIMENSION SCORE72.5 → A
Axis III · Growth Outlook

Growth — B

Growth screens at B (31.3 / 100), unchanged from the July 27, 2026 screen. TVL is $1.3B, -42% over twelve months (it was -25% at the previous screen). Category share (5%) and momentum (3 / 10) are carried over from July 27, 2026.

Growth ScorecardB
MetricRawNormalizedWeightWeighted
TVL 12-month trend-42%
35%8.8
Adoption of the core product, in absolute terms.
Category market share5%
30%12
Peer-relative position: winning or losing its niche.
Momentum & users3 / 10
35%10.5
Usage trajectory and integration growth, filtered for incentives.
FINAL DIMENSION SCORE31.3 → B
Verdict

Where Compound Lands

The credit grade is Solvency BBB. Legitimacy is A and the Growth outlook is B; the weakest axis is Growth. These grades use TVL data as of November 12, 2026 and qualitative inputs from July 27, 2026.

Credit Grade — Solvency
BBB
67 / 100

The credit grade answers one question: can Compound survive stress and pay its users back. Legitimacy (A) and the Growth outlook (B) are published beside it and are never averaged into it. Weakest axis: Growth.

Analyst Note
Blue-chip codebase; development pace and mindshare fading vs Aave/Morpho.
Screen vs full rating. This is Methodology v1.1 applied in screening form: the same bands, weights, caps and grade scale as the full Aave workbook (with the v1.1 change to TVL stability described above), reduced to the highest-signal metrics per dimension so the whole universe stays comparable in one table. Screen grades are provisional. A full rating — per-metric sourcing plus four stress scenarios — is produced when a protocol is selected for publication. TVL, 12-month TVL change and 90-day drawdown are from DefiLlama, parent-level listing as of November 12, 2026; every other input is an analyst estimate as of July 27, 2026, drawn from public data (DefiLlama, protocol docs, governance forums, rekt.news) and judgment, and should be verified before being relied upon.
Lending Peers
ProtocolSolvencyLegitimacyGrowth
Compound (this page)BBBAB
AaveAAABB
MorphoAAAA
JustLendABBBBB
SparkAABB
KaminoBBBBBBB
VenusABBCCC
SuilendBBBBCCC
EulerBBAB
BenqiBBBBBCCC
NAVIBBBCCC
MoonwellBBBBBCCC

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Analyst Commentary · July 27, 2026

Background From The Previous Screen

Dated commentary. Written for the July 27, 2026 screen under Methodology v1.0. Figures and grades quoted in it are as of that date. Where they differ from the scorecards above, the scorecards are current.

Overview

Compound is the protocol that invented pooled algorithmic lending and, for a time, defined DeFi itself. The screen scores a blue-chip in graceful decline: the codebase remains among the most trusted in the industry while the franchise steadily cedes ground to Aave's scale and Morpho's architecture.

Solvency

Solvency screens at A. The Comet (v3) architecture is conservative and battle-tested, drawdown is moderate, unlocks negligible, and the 8/10 risk score reflects one of the longest clean operating records in lending. The ~1.5x sustainability ratio is adequate but no longer compounding.

Legitimacy

Legitimacy screens at A on audit depth and pedigree, with the notable deduction in delivery (6/10): development pace has visibly slowed, governance-funded initiatives have churned, and the roadmap has thinned where competitors' have thickened.

Growth

Growth screens at B, the binding dimension: 5% category share, 25% TVL decline, and 3/10 momentum — the lowest among major lenders. The protocol retains integrations and trust but is no longer where new collateral goes first.

Verdict

Composite B. Credit quality without commercial momentum. The full-rating question is stark: can stewardship of a trusted codebase alone sustain a franchise, or does lending leadership require the shipping cadence Compound has lost?