Detecting DeFi Risk, Before It Breaks
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Rating Screen · Methodology v1.1

Kamino

Lending · KMNO · $1.2B TVL. Screen grades as of November 12, 2026: Solvency BBB, Legitimacy BBB, Growth B. Leading Solana money market; SOL-beta.

Data As Of November 12, 2026 Methodology v1.1 (screen, provisional) Previous Screen July 27, 2026 Caps Triggered 0
SolvencyCREDIT GRADE
BBB
64.8 / 100
Will it survive and pay users back?
Legitimacy
BBB
68.5 / 100
Is it real, credible, delivering its stated aim?
GrowthOUTLOOK
B
33 / 100
Adoption toward the protocol's own goal, peer-relative.
Re-screen · November 12, 2026

What Changed Since July 27, 2026

Input / GradeJuly 27, 2026November 12, 2026
TVL$2B$1.2B
12-month TVL change-40%-56%
Worst 90-day drawdown45%21%
Drawdown scored45% (90-day only, v1.0)56% (worse of 90-day and 12-month, v1.1)
Solvency (credit grade)BBB · 64.8BBB · 64.8
GrowthB · 38.3B · 33

TVL figures: DefiLlama, parent-level listing. The July 27, 2026 TVL was an analyst estimate and may have used a narrower definition, so part of the TVL difference can be definitional. Only these three inputs were refreshed in the re-screen; sustainability, unlocks, risk, audits, team, delivery, governance, category share and momentum were left as the July 27, 2026 estimates.

Axis I · Credit Grade

Solvency — BBB

Solvency screens at BBB (64.8 / 100), unchanged from the July 27, 2026 screen. The worst 90-day TVL drawdown is 21% and 12-month TVL change is -56%. TVL stability is scored on the 12-month decline of 56%, because it is worse than the latest 90 days. Sustainability ratio (2x), unlock pressure (8%) and risk quality (7 / 10) are carried over from July 27, 2026.

Solvency ScorecardBBB
MetricRawNormalizedWeightWeighted
Sustainability ratio (revenue / emissions)2x
30%24
Does it earn more than it prints? Above 1x is self-sustaining.
TVL stability (worse of 90-day drawdown and 12-month decline)56%
25%10
Bank-run indicator. Worst 90-day drawdown 21%, 12-month TVL change -56%; the worse of the two is scored, so a calm quarter cannot erase a long decline.
Unlock pressure (next 12 months)8%
15%9.8
Incoming insider sell pressure vs circulating supply.
Risk quality (collateral, oracle, exploit posture)7 / 10
30%21
Combined collateral quality, price-feed dependence, and loss history.
FINAL DIMENSION SCORE64.8 → BBB
Axis II · Legitimacy Score

Legitimacy — BBB

Legitimacy screens at BBB (68.5 / 100). No Legitimacy input was refreshed in the November 12, 2026 re-screen, so the grade is unchanged from July 27, 2026.

Legitimacy ScorecardBBB
MetricRawNormalizedWeightWeighted
Audit coverage7 / 10
25%17.5
Code credibility: firms, recency, findings resolved.
Team & transparency8 / 10
25%20
Doxxed vs anonymous; track record; disclosure quality.
Delivery vs stated roadmap8 / 10
20%16
Does shipped product match the promise? The core legitimacy test.
Governance & decentralization5 / 10
30%15
Real distributed control vs theater; participation quality.
FINAL DIMENSION SCORE68.5 → BBB
Axis III · Growth Outlook

Growth — B

Growth screens at B (33 / 100), unchanged from the July 27, 2026 screen. TVL is $1.2B, -56% over twelve months (it was -40% at the previous screen). Category share (8%) and momentum (5 / 10) are carried over from July 27, 2026.

Growth ScorecardB
MetricRawNormalizedWeightWeighted
TVL 12-month trend-56%
35%3.5
Adoption of the core product, in absolute terms.
Category market share8%
30%12
Peer-relative position: winning or losing its niche.
Momentum & users5 / 10
35%17.5
Usage trajectory and integration growth, filtered for incentives.
FINAL DIMENSION SCORE33 → B
Verdict

Where Kamino Lands

The credit grade is Solvency BBB. Legitimacy is BBB and the Growth outlook is B; the weakest axis is Growth. These grades use TVL data as of November 12, 2026 and qualitative inputs from July 27, 2026.

Credit Grade — Solvency
BBB
64.8 / 100

The credit grade answers one question: can Kamino survive stress and pay its users back. Legitimacy (BBB) and the Growth outlook (B) are published beside it and are never averaged into it. Weakest axis: Growth.

Analyst Note
Leading Solana money market; SOL-beta.
Screen vs full rating. This is Methodology v1.1 applied in screening form: the same bands, weights, caps and grade scale as the full Aave workbook (with the v1.1 change to TVL stability described above), reduced to the highest-signal metrics per dimension so the whole universe stays comparable in one table. Screen grades are provisional. A full rating — per-metric sourcing plus four stress scenarios — is produced when a protocol is selected for publication. TVL, 12-month TVL change and 90-day drawdown are from DefiLlama, parent-level listing as of November 12, 2026; every other input is an analyst estimate as of July 27, 2026, drawn from public data (DefiLlama, protocol docs, governance forums, rekt.news) and judgment, and should be verified before being relied upon.
Lending Peers
ProtocolSolvencyLegitimacyGrowth
Kamino (this page)BBBBBBB
AaveAAABB
MorphoAAAA
JustLendABBBBB
SparkAABB
CompoundBBBAB
VenusABBCCC
SuilendBBBBCCC
EulerBBAB
BenqiBBBBBCCC
NAVIBBBCCC
MoonwellBBBBBCCC

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Analyst Commentary · July 27, 2026

Background From The Previous Screen

Dated commentary. Written for the July 27, 2026 screen under Methodology v1.0. Figures and grades quoted in it are as of that date. Where they differ from the scorecards above, the scorecards are current.

Overview

Kamino is Solana's leading money market, combining lending, leveraged liquidity vaults, and structured products into the chain's default capital-efficiency layer. Its $2B TVL makes it the largest credit venue outside the EVM world.

Solvency

Solvency screens at BBB. Fee coverage (~2x) is adequate and the liquidation engine has performed through Solana's volatility spikes, but the 45% drawdown underlines how completely deposits track SOL's price cycle, and ~8% unlocks add overhang. Risk posture (7/10) is solid for the product's complexity.

Legitimacy

Legitimacy screens at BBB: competent public team, consistent delivery, audits that cover the core but trail the product surface's expansion pace. Governance is early (5/10) with KMNO voting still finding its footing.

Growth

Growth screens at B. An 8% category share and moderate momentum cannot offset the 40% twelve-month decline. Like all Solana DeFi, its growth reads as chain-beta with execution alpha on top.

Verdict

Composite B. Well-run, structurally levered to its chain. The full-rating question: does Kamino build economics that survive a Solana winter, or is it the best boat on a single tide?