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Rating Screen · Methodology v1.1

PancakeSwap

DEX · CAKE · $2.2B TVL. Screen grades as of November 12, 2026: Solvency A, Legitimacy BBB, Growth BB. BNB flagship DEX; veCAKE governance episodes; steady burn economics.

Data As Of November 12, 2026 Methodology v1.1 (screen, provisional) Previous Screen July 27, 2026 Caps Triggered 0
SolvencyCREDIT GRADE
A
79 / 100
Will it survive and pay users back?
Legitimacy
BBB
68.5 / 100
Is it real, credible, delivering its stated aim?
GrowthOUTLOOK
BB
45.3 / 100
Adoption toward the protocol's own goal, peer-relative.
Re-screen · November 12, 2026

What Changed Since July 27, 2026

Input / GradeJuly 27, 2026November 12, 2026
TVL$1.7B$2.2B
12-month TVL change-20%-18%
Worst 90-day drawdown25%16%
Drawdown scored25% (90-day only, v1.0)18% (worse of 90-day and 12-month, v1.1)
Solvency (credit grade)A · 74A · 79
GrowthBB · 45.3BB · 45.3

TVL figures: DefiLlama, parent-level listing. The July 27, 2026 TVL was an analyst estimate and may have used a narrower definition, so part of the TVL difference can be definitional. Only these three inputs were refreshed in the re-screen; sustainability, unlocks, risk, audits, team, delivery, governance, category share and momentum were left as the July 27, 2026 estimates.

Axis I · Credit Grade

Solvency — A

Solvency screens at A (79 / 100), unchanged from the July 27, 2026 screen. The worst 90-day TVL drawdown is 16% and 12-month TVL change is -18%. TVL stability is scored on the 12-month decline of 18%, because it is worse than the latest 90 days. Sustainability ratio (3x), unlock pressure (2%) and risk quality (7 / 10) are carried over from July 27, 2026.

Solvency ScorecardA
MetricRawNormalizedWeightWeighted
Sustainability ratio (revenue / emissions)3x
30%24
Does it earn more than it prints? Above 1x is self-sustaining.
TVL stability (worse of 90-day drawdown and 12-month decline)18%
25%21.3
Bank-run indicator. Worst 90-day drawdown 16%, 12-month TVL change -18%; the worse of the two is scored, so a calm quarter cannot erase a long decline.
Unlock pressure (next 12 months)2%
15%12.8
Incoming insider sell pressure vs circulating supply.
Risk quality (collateral, oracle, exploit posture)7 / 10
30%21
Combined collateral quality, price-feed dependence, and loss history.
FINAL DIMENSION SCORE79 → A
Axis II · Legitimacy Score

Legitimacy — BBB

Legitimacy screens at BBB (68.5 / 100). No Legitimacy input was refreshed in the November 12, 2026 re-screen, so the grade is unchanged from July 27, 2026.

Legitimacy ScorecardBBB
MetricRawNormalizedWeightWeighted
Audit coverage8 / 10
25%20
Code credibility: firms, recency, findings resolved.
Team & transparency7 / 10
25%17.5
Doxxed vs anonymous; track record; disclosure quality.
Delivery vs stated roadmap8 / 10
20%16
Does shipped product match the promise? The core legitimacy test.
Governance & decentralization5 / 10
30%15
Real distributed control vs theater; participation quality.
FINAL DIMENSION SCORE68.5 → BBB
Axis III · Growth Outlook

Growth — BB

Growth screens at BB (45.3 / 100), unchanged from the July 27, 2026 screen. TVL is $2.2B, -18% over twelve months (it was -20% at the previous screen). Category share (14%) and momentum (5 / 10) are carried over from July 27, 2026.

Growth ScorecardBB
MetricRawNormalizedWeightWeighted
TVL 12-month trend-18%
35%15.8
Adoption of the core product, in absolute terms.
Category market share14%
30%12
Peer-relative position: winning or losing its niche.
Momentum & users5 / 10
35%17.5
Usage trajectory and integration growth, filtered for incentives.
FINAL DIMENSION SCORE45.3 → BB
Verdict

Where PancakeSwap Lands

The credit grade is Solvency A. Legitimacy is BBB and the Growth outlook is BB; the weakest axis is Growth. These grades use TVL data as of November 12, 2026 and qualitative inputs from July 27, 2026.

Credit Grade — Solvency
A
79 / 100

The credit grade answers one question: can PancakeSwap survive stress and pay its users back. Legitimacy (BBB) and the Growth outlook (BB) are published beside it and are never averaged into it. Weakest axis: Growth.

Analyst Note
BNB flagship DEX; veCAKE governance episodes; steady burn economics.
Screen vs full rating. This is Methodology v1.1 applied in screening form: the same bands, weights, caps and grade scale as the full Aave workbook (with the v1.1 change to TVL stability described above), reduced to the highest-signal metrics per dimension so the whole universe stays comparable in one table. Screen grades are provisional. A full rating — per-metric sourcing plus four stress scenarios — is produced when a protocol is selected for publication. TVL, 12-month TVL change and 90-day drawdown are from DefiLlama, parent-level listing as of November 12, 2026; every other input is an analyst estimate as of July 27, 2026, drawn from public data (DefiLlama, protocol docs, governance forums, rekt.news) and judgment, and should be verified before being relied upon.
DEX Peers
ProtocolSolvencyLegitimacyGrowth
PancakeSwap (this page)ABBBBB
UniswapAAAABB
CurveBBBAB
RaydiumBBBBBBB
AerodromeBBBBBBB
BalancerBBACCC
SushiSwapBBBBCCC

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Analyst Commentary · July 27, 2026

Background From The Previous Screen

Dated commentary. Written for the July 27, 2026 screen under Methodology v1.0. Figures and grades quoted in it are as of that date. Where they differ from the scorecards above, the scorecards are current.

Overview

PancakeSwap is the flagship DEX of the BNB Chain ecosystem and one of the few AMMs to achieve genuinely deflationary token economics — its burn mechanism consistently retires more CAKE than the protocol emits, funded by real trading fee revenue across a multi-chain deployment.

Solvency

Solvency screens at A. The ~3x sustainability ratio is backed by steady burn economics, drawdown is comparatively shallow (~25%), and unlock pressure is minimal on a mature token. The risk score reflects a long operating history with no core-AMM loss.

Legitimacy

Legitimacy screens at BBB. Audits are solid and delivery steady across v3 and multichain expansion. The deductions: a semi-anonymous 'chef' team structure, and veCAKE governance episodes where the core team overrode or restructured community processes — functional, but revealing where authority actually sits.

Growth

Growth screens at BB. TVL down ~20% is better than most peers, but 14% share and modest momentum describe an incumbent defending territory rather than expanding it, tied closely to BNB Chain's own trajectory.

Verdict

Composite BB. Steady economics, ecosystem-bound growth, governance that works until it's tested. A full rating would examine treasury policy and the burn's sustainability across a volume downcycle.