Detecting DeFi Risk, Before It Breaks
← All Protocol Ratings
Rating Screen · Methodology v1.1

Curve

DEX · CRV · $1.2B TVL. Screen grades as of November 12, 2026: Solvency BBB, Legitimacy A, Growth B. 2023 reentrancy handled; founder loan overhang resolved; veCRV concentration.

Data As Of November 12, 2026 Methodology v1.1 (screen, provisional) Previous Screen July 27, 2026 Caps Triggered 0
SolvencyCREDIT GRADE
BBB
61.8 / 100
Will it survive and pay users back?
Legitimacy
A
71.5 / 100
Is it real, credible, delivering its stated aim?
GrowthOUTLOOK
B
40.8 / 100
Adoption toward the protocol's own goal, peer-relative.
Re-screen · November 12, 2026

What Changed Since July 27, 2026

Input / GradeJuly 27, 2026November 12, 2026
TVL$2B$1.2B
12-month TVL change-30%-46%
Worst 90-day drawdown30%18%
Drawdown scored30% (90-day only, v1.0)46% (worse of 90-day and 12-month, v1.1)
Solvency (credit grade)BBB · 68BBB · 61.8
GrowthB · 40.8B · 40.8

TVL figures: DefiLlama, parent-level listing. The July 27, 2026 TVL was an analyst estimate and may have used a narrower definition, so part of the TVL difference can be definitional. Only these three inputs were refreshed in the re-screen; sustainability, unlocks, risk, audits, team, delivery, governance, category share and momentum were left as the July 27, 2026 estimates.

Axis I · Credit Grade

Solvency — BBB

Solvency screens at BBB (61.8 / 100), unchanged from the July 27, 2026 screen. The worst 90-day TVL drawdown is 18% and 12-month TVL change is -46%. TVL stability is scored on the 12-month decline of 46%, because it is worse than the latest 90 days. Sustainability ratio (1x), unlock pressure (2%) and risk quality (7 / 10) are carried over from July 27, 2026.

Solvency ScorecardBBB
MetricRawNormalizedWeightWeighted
Sustainability ratio (revenue / emissions)1x
30%18
Does it earn more than it prints? Above 1x is self-sustaining.
TVL stability (worse of 90-day drawdown and 12-month decline)46%
25%10
Bank-run indicator. Worst 90-day drawdown 18%, 12-month TVL change -46%; the worse of the two is scored, so a calm quarter cannot erase a long decline.
Unlock pressure (next 12 months)2%
15%12.8
Incoming insider sell pressure vs circulating supply.
Risk quality (collateral, oracle, exploit posture)7 / 10
30%21
Combined collateral quality, price-feed dependence, and loss history.
FINAL DIMENSION SCORE61.8 → BBB
Axis II · Legitimacy Score

Legitimacy — A

Legitimacy screens at A (71.5 / 100). No Legitimacy input was refreshed in the November 12, 2026 re-screen, so the grade is unchanged from July 27, 2026.

Legitimacy ScorecardA
MetricRawNormalizedWeightWeighted
Audit coverage8 / 10
25%20
Code credibility: firms, recency, findings resolved.
Team & transparency7 / 10
25%17.5
Doxxed vs anonymous; track record; disclosure quality.
Delivery vs stated roadmap8 / 10
20%16
Does shipped product match the promise? The core legitimacy test.
Governance & decentralization6 / 10
30%18
Real distributed control vs theater; participation quality.
FINAL DIMENSION SCORE71.5 → A
Axis III · Growth Outlook

Growth — B

Growth screens at B (40.8 / 100), unchanged from the July 27, 2026 screen. TVL is $1.2B, -46% over twelve months (it was -30% at the previous screen). Category share (16%) and momentum (4 / 10) are carried over from July 27, 2026.

Growth ScorecardB
MetricRawNormalizedWeightWeighted
TVL 12-month trend-46%
35%8.8
Adoption of the core product, in absolute terms.
Category market share16%
30%18
Peer-relative position: winning or losing its niche.
Momentum & users4 / 10
35%14
Usage trajectory and integration growth, filtered for incentives.
FINAL DIMENSION SCORE40.8 → B
Verdict

Where Curve Lands

The credit grade is Solvency BBB. Legitimacy is A and the Growth outlook is B; the weakest axis is Growth. These grades use TVL data as of November 12, 2026 and qualitative inputs from July 27, 2026.

Credit Grade — Solvency
BBB
61.8 / 100

The credit grade answers one question: can Curve survive stress and pay its users back. Legitimacy (A) and the Growth outlook (B) are published beside it and are never averaged into it. Weakest axis: Growth.

Analyst Note
2023 reentrancy handled; founder loan overhang resolved; veCRV concentration.
Screen vs full rating. This is Methodology v1.1 applied in screening form: the same bands, weights, caps and grade scale as the full Aave workbook (with the v1.1 change to TVL stability described above), reduced to the highest-signal metrics per dimension so the whole universe stays comparable in one table. Screen grades are provisional. A full rating — per-metric sourcing plus four stress scenarios — is produced when a protocol is selected for publication. TVL, 12-month TVL change and 90-day drawdown are from DefiLlama, parent-level listing as of November 12, 2026; every other input is an analyst estimate as of July 27, 2026, drawn from public data (DefiLlama, protocol docs, governance forums, rekt.news) and judgment, and should be verified before being relied upon.
DEX Peers
ProtocolSolvencyLegitimacyGrowth
Curve (this page)BBBAB
UniswapAAAABB
PancakeSwapABBBBB
RaydiumBBBBBBB
AerodromeBBBBBBB
BalancerBBACCC
SushiSwapBBBBCCC

See all rated protocols →

Want the full treatment? See the complete Aave rating — per-metric sourcing, four stress scenarios, and notching-cap analysis — for what a published rating looks like. Join the waitlist to get each new full rating as it publishes.
Analyst Commentary · July 27, 2026

Background From The Previous Screen

Dated commentary. Written for the July 27, 2026 screen under Methodology v1.0. Figures and grades quoted in it are as of that date. Where they differ from the scorecards above, the scorecards are current.

Overview

Curve remains the stable-asset liquidity backbone of Ethereum DeFi, its veCRV gauge system still directing meaningful liquidity flows a full cycle after the 'Curve wars.' The protocol has survived its two defining stress events — the 2023 Vyper reentrancy exploit and the founder-loan liquidation overhang — with both now resolved.

Solvency

Solvency screens at BBB. Unlock pressure is minimal and drawdown moderate, but the sustainability ratio (~1x) is the tightest among mature DEXs — fee revenue roughly matches emissions, leaving little cushion. The risk score credits the post-2023 remediation while remembering that the exploit reached core pools.

Legitimacy

Legitimacy screens at A. Audit posture was rebuilt seriously after 2023, the protocol's crisis handling was transparent, and crvUSD shipped as promised. Deductions: veCRV concentration keeps governance oligarchic, and the founder's financial entanglements with the protocol's own token remain a governance-culture caveat.

Growth

Growth screens at B. TVL is down ~30%, share has eroded to ~16% as stable-swap competition fragmented, and momentum is weak. crvUSD and lending products generate real but modest new fee surface.

Verdict

Composite B. Infrastructure-grade importance, tightening economics. A full rating would weigh how durable the veCRV liquidity moat is in a market that increasingly routes around it.