Detecting DeFi Risk, Before It Breaks
← All Protocol Ratings
Rating Screen · Methodology v1.1

Drift

Derivatives · DRIFT · $0.23B TVL. Screen grades as of November 12, 2026: Solvency BB, Legitimacy BBB, Growth B. Solana perps #2; real fees.

Data As Of November 12, 2026 Methodology v1.1 (screen, provisional) Previous Screen July 27, 2026 Caps Triggered 0
SolvencyCREDIT GRADE
BB
58.5 / 100
Will it survive and pay users back?
Legitimacy
BBB
68.5 / 100
Is it real, credible, delivering its stated aim?
GrowthOUTLOOK
B
33 / 100
Adoption toward the protocol's own goal, peer-relative.
Re-screen · November 12, 2026

What Changed Since July 27, 2026

Input / GradeJuly 27, 2026November 12, 2026
TVL$0.9B$0.23B
12-month TVL change-30%-79%
Worst 90-day drawdown45%33%
Drawdown scored45% (90-day only, v1.0)79% (worse of 90-day and 12-month, v1.1)
Solvency (credit grade)BBB · 64.8BB · 58.5
GrowthB · 38.3B · 33

TVL figures: DefiLlama, parent-level listing. The July 27, 2026 TVL was an analyst estimate and may have used a narrower definition, so part of the TVL difference can be definitional. Only these three inputs were refreshed in the re-screen; sustainability, unlocks, risk, audits, team, delivery, governance, category share and momentum were left as the July 27, 2026 estimates.

Axis I · Credit Grade

Solvency — BB

Solvency screens at BB (58.5 / 100), previously BBB in the July 27, 2026 screen. The worst 90-day TVL drawdown is 33% and 12-month TVL change is -79%. TVL stability is scored on the 12-month decline of 79%, because it is worse than the latest 90 days. Sustainability ratio (3x), unlock pressure (8%) and risk quality (7 / 10) are carried over from July 27, 2026.

Solvency ScorecardBB
MetricRawNormalizedWeightWeighted
Sustainability ratio (revenue / emissions)3x
30%24
Does it earn more than it prints? Above 1x is self-sustaining.
TVL stability (worse of 90-day drawdown and 12-month decline)79%
25%3.8
Bank-run indicator. Worst 90-day drawdown 33%, 12-month TVL change -79%; the worse of the two is scored, so a calm quarter cannot erase a long decline.
Unlock pressure (next 12 months)8%
15%9.8
Incoming insider sell pressure vs circulating supply.
Risk quality (collateral, oracle, exploit posture)7 / 10
30%21
Combined collateral quality, price-feed dependence, and loss history.
FINAL DIMENSION SCORE58.5 → BB
Axis II · Legitimacy Score

Legitimacy — BBB

Legitimacy screens at BBB (68.5 / 100). No Legitimacy input was refreshed in the November 12, 2026 re-screen, so the grade is unchanged from July 27, 2026.

Legitimacy ScorecardBBB
MetricRawNormalizedWeightWeighted
Audit coverage7 / 10
25%17.5
Code credibility: firms, recency, findings resolved.
Team & transparency8 / 10
25%20
Doxxed vs anonymous; track record; disclosure quality.
Delivery vs stated roadmap8 / 10
20%16
Does shipped product match the promise? The core legitimacy test.
Governance & decentralization5 / 10
30%15
Real distributed control vs theater; participation quality.
FINAL DIMENSION SCORE68.5 → BBB
Axis III · Growth Outlook

Growth — B

Growth screens at B (33 / 100), unchanged from the July 27, 2026 screen. TVL is $0.23B, -79% over twelve months (it was -30% at the previous screen). Category share (12%) and momentum (5 / 10) are carried over from July 27, 2026.

Growth ScorecardB
MetricRawNormalizedWeightWeighted
TVL 12-month trend-79%
35%3.5
Adoption of the core product, in absolute terms.
Category market share12%
30%12
Peer-relative position: winning or losing its niche.
Momentum & users5 / 10
35%17.5
Usage trajectory and integration growth, filtered for incentives.
FINAL DIMENSION SCORE33 → B
Verdict

Where Drift Lands

The credit grade is Solvency BB. Legitimacy is BBB and the Growth outlook is B; the weakest axis is Growth. These grades use TVL data as of November 12, 2026 and qualitative inputs from July 27, 2026.

Credit Grade — Solvency
BB
58.5 / 100

The credit grade answers one question: can Drift survive stress and pay its users back. Legitimacy (BBB) and the Growth outlook (B) are published beside it and are never averaged into it. Weakest axis: Growth.

Analyst Note
Solana perps #2; real fees.
Screen vs full rating. This is Methodology v1.1 applied in screening form: the same bands, weights, caps and grade scale as the full Aave workbook (with the v1.1 change to TVL stability described above), reduced to the highest-signal metrics per dimension so the whole universe stays comparable in one table. Screen grades are provisional. A full rating — per-metric sourcing plus four stress scenarios — is produced when a protocol is selected for publication. TVL, 12-month TVL change and 90-day drawdown are from DefiLlama, parent-level listing as of November 12, 2026; every other input is an analyst estimate as of July 27, 2026, drawn from public data (DefiLlama, protocol docs, governance forums, rekt.news) and judgment, and should be verified before being relied upon.
Derivatives Peers
ProtocolSolvencyLegitimacyGrowth
Drift (this page)BBBBBB
HyperliquidAAAAA
GMXBBBBBBB
dYdXBBACCC

See all rated protocols →

Want the full treatment? See the complete Aave rating — per-metric sourcing, four stress scenarios, and notching-cap analysis — for what a published rating looks like. Join the waitlist to get each new full rating as it publishes.
Analyst Commentary · July 27, 2026

Background From The Previous Screen

Dated commentary. Written for the July 27, 2026 screen under Methodology v1.0. Figures and grades quoted in it are as of that date. Where they differ from the scorecards above, the scorecards are current.

Overview

Drift is Solana's leading native perpetuals exchange — second in the broader on-chain derivatives category behind Hyperliquid — with a full-stack venue spanning perps, spot, borrow-lend, and prediction markets, all generating real fee revenue.

Solvency

Solvency screens at BBB. The ~3x sustainability ratio is earned from genuine trading volume, and the protocol survived its formative stress (the 2022 v1 oracle incident) with a rebuilt architecture. The 45% drawdown and 8% unlock schedule keep the score from the A-range.

Legitimacy

Legitimacy screens at BBB: strong technical team, steady shipping across an ambitious surface, adequate audit depth. Governance (5/10) is young; the foundation still leads.

Growth

Growth screens at B against Hyperliquid's gravity: 12% category share and fair momentum, with volume increasingly consolidating to the leader. Chain-beta (-30% TVL) compounds it.

Verdict

Composite B. A well-run second player in a category where liquidity begets liquidity. The full-rating question is whether Solana-native distribution is a defensible niche or a shrinking one.