Detecting DeFi Risk, Before It Breaks
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Rating Screen · Methodology v1.1

StakeWise

Liquid Staking · SWISE · $0.81B TVL. Screen grades as of November 12, 2026: Solvency BBB, Legitimacy BBB, Growth CCC. osETH; solo-staker-friendly architecture.

Data As Of November 12, 2026 Methodology v1.1 (screen, provisional) Previous Screen July 27, 2026 Caps Triggered 0
SolvencyCREDIT GRADE
BBB
68 / 100
Will it survive and pay users back?
Legitimacy
BBB
69 / 100
Is it real, credible, delivering its stated aim?
GrowthOUTLOOK
CCC
25.3 / 100
Adoption toward the protocol's own goal, peer-relative.
Re-screen · November 12, 2026

What Changed Since July 27, 2026

Input / GradeJuly 27, 2026November 12, 2026
TVL$0.3B$0.81B
12-month TVL change-30%-35%
Worst 90-day drawdown35%23%
Drawdown scored35% (90-day only, v1.0)35% (worse of 90-day and 12-month, v1.1)
Solvency (credit grade)BBB · 68BBB · 68
GrowthCCC · 25.3CCC · 25.3

TVL figures: DefiLlama, parent-level listing. The July 27, 2026 TVL was an analyst estimate and may have used a narrower definition, so part of the TVL difference can be definitional. Only these three inputs were refreshed in the re-screen; sustainability, unlocks, risk, audits, team, delivery, governance, category share and momentum were left as the July 27, 2026 estimates.

Axis I · Credit Grade

Solvency — BBB

Solvency screens at BBB (68 / 100), unchanged from the July 27, 2026 screen. The worst 90-day TVL drawdown is 23% and 12-month TVL change is -35%. TVL stability is scored on the 12-month decline of 35%, because it is worse than the latest 90 days. Sustainability ratio (1x), unlock pressure (2%) and risk quality (7 / 10) are carried over from July 27, 2026.

Solvency ScorecardBBB
MetricRawNormalizedWeightWeighted
Sustainability ratio (revenue / emissions)1x
30%18
Does it earn more than it prints? Above 1x is self-sustaining.
TVL stability (worse of 90-day drawdown and 12-month decline)35%
25%16.3
Bank-run indicator. Worst 90-day drawdown 23%, 12-month TVL change -35%; the worse of the two is scored, so a calm quarter cannot erase a long decline.
Unlock pressure (next 12 months)2%
15%12.8
Incoming insider sell pressure vs circulating supply.
Risk quality (collateral, oracle, exploit posture)7 / 10
30%21
Combined collateral quality, price-feed dependence, and loss history.
FINAL DIMENSION SCORE68 → BBB
Axis II · Legitimacy Score

Legitimacy — BBB

Legitimacy screens at BBB (69 / 100). No Legitimacy input was refreshed in the November 12, 2026 re-screen, so the grade is unchanged from July 27, 2026.

Legitimacy ScorecardBBB
MetricRawNormalizedWeightWeighted
Audit coverage8 / 10
25%20
Code credibility: firms, recency, findings resolved.
Team & transparency8 / 10
25%20
Doxxed vs anonymous; track record; disclosure quality.
Delivery vs stated roadmap7 / 10
20%14
Does shipped product match the promise? The core legitimacy test.
Governance & decentralization5 / 10
30%15
Real distributed control vs theater; participation quality.
FINAL DIMENSION SCORE69 → BBB
Axis III · Growth Outlook

Growth — CCC

Growth screens at CCC (25.3 / 100), unchanged from the July 27, 2026 screen. TVL is $0.81B, -35% over twelve months (it was -30% at the previous screen). Category share (2%) and momentum (3 / 10) are carried over from July 27, 2026.

Growth ScorecardCCC
MetricRawNormalizedWeightWeighted
TVL 12-month trend-35%
35%8.8
Adoption of the core product, in absolute terms.
Category market share2%
30%6
Peer-relative position: winning or losing its niche.
Momentum & users3 / 10
35%10.5
Usage trajectory and integration growth, filtered for incentives.
FINAL DIMENSION SCORE25.3 → CCC
Verdict

Where StakeWise Lands

The credit grade is Solvency BBB. Legitimacy is BBB and the Growth outlook is CCC; the weakest axis is Growth. These grades use TVL data as of November 12, 2026 and qualitative inputs from July 27, 2026.

Credit Grade — Solvency
BBB
68 / 100

The credit grade answers one question: can StakeWise survive stress and pay its users back. Legitimacy (BBB) and the Growth outlook (CCC) are published beside it and are never averaged into it. Weakest axis: Growth.

Analyst Note
osETH; solo-staker-friendly architecture.
Screen vs full rating. This is Methodology v1.1 applied in screening form: the same bands, weights, caps and grade scale as the full Aave workbook (with the v1.1 change to TVL stability described above), reduced to the highest-signal metrics per dimension so the whole universe stays comparable in one table. Screen grades are provisional. A full rating — per-metric sourcing plus four stress scenarios — is produced when a protocol is selected for publication. TVL, 12-month TVL change and 90-day drawdown are from DefiLlama, parent-level listing as of November 12, 2026; every other input is an analyst estimate as of July 27, 2026, drawn from public data (DefiLlama, protocol docs, governance forums, rekt.news) and judgment, and should be verified before being relied upon.
Liquid Staking Peers
ProtocolSolvencyLegitimacyGrowth
StakeWise (this page)BBBBBBCCC
LidoAAABB
JitoBBBAB
Rocket PoolBBBAACCC
MarinadeBBBAB
SanctumBBBBBBBB
mETH ProtocolBBBBBBB

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Analyst Commentary · July 27, 2026

Background From The Previous Screen

Dated commentary. Written for the July 27, 2026 screen under Methodology v1.0. Figures and grades quoted in it are as of that date. Where they differ from the scorecards above, the scorecards are current.

Overview

StakeWise v3 is architecturally the most solo-staker-friendly liquid staking design in the screen: isolated vaults let individual operators mint osETH against their own stake without pooling counterparty risk. It is a thoughtful answer to Lido's centralization critique that the market has largely declined to reward.

Solvency

Solvency screens at BBB. Break-even fee coverage (~1x), light unlocks, a moderate drawdown, and a 7/10 risk score reflecting the genuine benefit of vault isolation — one operator's failure does not socialize to all osETH holders, which is a real structural improvement over pooled designs.

Legitimacy

Legitimacy screens at BBB: solid audits, a credible public team, and delivery of a genuinely novel v3 architecture. Governance (5/10) is low-participation, a common fate for small-cap protocols.

Growth

Growth screens at CCC: 2% share, -30% TVL, 3/10 momentum. The isolated-vault model is harder to explain and harder to integrate than a single fungible LST, and distribution has followed simplicity.

Verdict

Composite CCC. Better risk architecture than most of its category, with almost no commercial traction to show for it. A full rating would be a study in why superior design loses to superior distribution.