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Rating Screen · Methodology v1.1

Lido

Liquid Staking · LDO · $19.9B TVL. Screen grades as of November 12, 2026: Solvency A, Legitimacy AA, Growth BB. stETH dominance; LDO governance concentration limits Legitimacy.

Data As Of November 12, 2026 Methodology v1.1 (screen, provisional) Previous Screen July 27, 2026 Caps Triggered 0
SolvencyCREDIT GRADE
A
79.3 / 100
Will it survive and pay users back?
Legitimacy
AA
81 / 100
Is it real, credible, delivering its stated aim?
GrowthOUTLOOK
BB
56.3 / 100
Adoption toward the protocol's own goal, peer-relative.
Re-screen · November 12, 2026

What Changed Since July 27, 2026

Input / GradeJuly 27, 2026November 12, 2026
TVL$10.2B$19.9B
12-month TVL change-35%-33%
Worst 90-day drawdown30%27%
Drawdown scored30% (90-day only, v1.0)33% (worse of 90-day and 12-month, v1.1)
Solvency (credit grade)A · 79.3A · 79.3
GrowthBB · 56.3BB · 56.3

TVL figures: DefiLlama, parent-level listing. The July 27, 2026 TVL was an analyst estimate and may have used a narrower definition, so part of the TVL difference can be definitional. Only these three inputs were refreshed in the re-screen; sustainability, unlocks, risk, audits, team, delivery, governance, category share and momentum were left as the July 27, 2026 estimates.

Axis I · Credit Grade

Solvency — A

Solvency screens at A (79.3 / 100), unchanged from the July 27, 2026 screen. The worst 90-day TVL drawdown is 27% and 12-month TVL change is -33%. TVL stability is scored on the 12-month decline of 33%, because it is worse than the latest 90 days. Sustainability ratio (3x), unlock pressure (1%) and risk quality (8 / 10) are carried over from July 27, 2026.

Solvency ScorecardA
MetricRawNormalizedWeightWeighted
Sustainability ratio (revenue / emissions)3x
30%24
Does it earn more than it prints? Above 1x is self-sustaining.
TVL stability (worse of 90-day drawdown and 12-month decline)33%
25%16.3
Bank-run indicator. Worst 90-day drawdown 27%, 12-month TVL change -33%; the worse of the two is scored, so a calm quarter cannot erase a long decline.
Unlock pressure (next 12 months)1%
15%15
Incoming insider sell pressure vs circulating supply.
Risk quality (collateral, oracle, exploit posture)8 / 10
30%24
Combined collateral quality, price-feed dependence, and loss history.
FINAL DIMENSION SCORE79.3 → A
Axis II · Legitimacy Score

Legitimacy — AA

Legitimacy screens at AA (81 / 100). No Legitimacy input was refreshed in the November 12, 2026 re-screen, so the grade is unchanged from July 27, 2026.

Legitimacy ScorecardAA
MetricRawNormalizedWeightWeighted
Audit coverage9 / 10
25%22.5
Code credibility: firms, recency, findings resolved.
Team & transparency9 / 10
25%22.5
Doxxed vs anonymous; track record; disclosure quality.
Delivery vs stated roadmap9 / 10
20%18
Does shipped product match the promise? The core legitimacy test.
Governance & decentralization6 / 10
30%18
Real distributed control vs theater; participation quality.
FINAL DIMENSION SCORE81 → AA
Axis III · Growth Outlook

Growth — BB

Growth screens at BB (56.3 / 100), unchanged from the July 27, 2026 screen. TVL is $19.9B, -33% over twelve months (it was -35% at the previous screen). Category share (55%) and momentum (5 / 10) are carried over from July 27, 2026.

Growth ScorecardBB
MetricRawNormalizedWeightWeighted
TVL 12-month trend-33%
35%8.8
Adoption of the core product, in absolute terms.
Category market share55%
30%30
Peer-relative position: winning or losing its niche.
Momentum & users5 / 10
35%17.5
Usage trajectory and integration growth, filtered for incentives.
FINAL DIMENSION SCORE56.3 → BB
Verdict

Where Lido Lands

The credit grade is Solvency A. Legitimacy is AA and the Growth outlook is BB; the weakest axis is Growth. These grades use TVL data as of November 12, 2026 and qualitative inputs from July 27, 2026.

Credit Grade — Solvency
A
79.3 / 100

The credit grade answers one question: can Lido survive stress and pay its users back. Legitimacy (AA) and the Growth outlook (BB) are published beside it and are never averaged into it. Weakest axis: Growth.

Analyst Note
stETH dominance; LDO governance concentration limits Legitimacy.
Screen vs full rating. This is Methodology v1.1 applied in screening form: the same bands, weights, caps and grade scale as the full Aave workbook (with the v1.1 change to TVL stability described above), reduced to the highest-signal metrics per dimension so the whole universe stays comparable in one table. Screen grades are provisional. A full rating — per-metric sourcing plus four stress scenarios — is produced when a protocol is selected for publication. TVL, 12-month TVL change and 90-day drawdown are from DefiLlama, parent-level listing as of November 12, 2026; every other input is an analyst estimate as of July 27, 2026, drawn from public data (DefiLlama, protocol docs, governance forums, rekt.news) and judgment, and should be verified before being relied upon.
Liquid Staking Peers
ProtocolSolvencyLegitimacyGrowth
Lido (this page)AAABB
JitoBBBAB
Rocket PoolBBBAACCC
MarinadeBBBAB
SanctumBBBBBBBB
mETH ProtocolBBBBBBB
StakeWiseBBBBBBCCC

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Analyst Commentary · July 27, 2026

Background From The Previous Screen

Dated commentary. Written for the July 27, 2026 screen under Methodology v1.0. Figures and grades quoted in it are as of that date. Where they differ from the scorecards above, the scorecards are current.

Overview

Lido is the incumbent of Ethereum liquid staking: stETH remains the most widely integrated staking derivative in DeFi, and the protocol still commands roughly 55% of its category at $10.2B TVL. The screen reads it as a strong, cash-generating infrastructure asset whose open question is not survival but direction — its growth dimension lags well behind its balance-sheet strength.

Solvency

Solvency screens at A. The protocol earns a genuine fee stream on staking rewards (sustainability ratio ~3x emissions), unlock pressure is negligible with LDO long since distributed, and operational risk posture is mature. The main deduction is the ~30% worst 90-day TVL drawdown — staking TVL is inherently ETH-price beta, so deposit value swings with the market even when unit share holds.

Legitimacy

Legitimacy screens at AA on deep audit coverage, a long-tenured public team, and a delivery record that includes the successful withdrawal-era transition and dual-governance work. The one structural deduction is governance: LDO voting power is concentrated enough that token-holder control remains more oligarchic than the validator-set decentralization the protocol championed.

Growth

Growth is the weak dimension at BB. Twelve-month TVL is down ~35% in a sector-wide drawdown, and while category share is still dominant, the restaking and LRT wave has been absorbing the marginal staked ether that once defaulted to Lido. Momentum is middling rather than negative — share is stable, but the frontier of the category has moved.

Verdict

The screen composite is BB, capped by growth rather than by any balance-sheet concern. Lido is a candidate for a full rating on the strength of its Solvency and Legitimacy profile; the watch items for that exercise are governance concentration and whether stETH's integration moat converts back into net inflows when the staking cycle turns.