Detecting DeFi Risk, Before It Breaks
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Rating Screen · Methodology v1.1

Kelp DAO

LRT · KERNEL · $0.75B TVL. Screen grades as of November 12, 2026: Solvency BB, Legitimacy BBB, Growth B. rsETH; restaking-beta.

Data As Of November 12, 2026 Methodology v1.1 (screen, provisional) Previous Screen July 27, 2026 Caps Triggered 0
SolvencyCREDIT GRADE
BB
52 / 100
Will it survive and pay users back?
Legitimacy
BBB
61 / 100
Is it real, credible, delivering its stated aim?
GrowthOUTLOOK
B
34.8 / 100
Adoption toward the protocol's own goal, peer-relative.
Re-screen · November 12, 2026

What Changed Since July 27, 2026

Input / GradeJuly 27, 2026November 12, 2026
TVL$1B$0.75B
12-month TVL change-35%-40%
Worst 90-day drawdown45%36%
Drawdown scored45% (90-day only, v1.0)40% (worse of 90-day and 12-month, v1.1)
Solvency (credit grade)BB · 52BB · 52
GrowthB · 34.8B · 34.8

TVL figures: DefiLlama, parent-level listing. The July 27, 2026 TVL was an analyst estimate and may have used a narrower definition, so part of the TVL difference can be definitional. Only these three inputs were refreshed in the re-screen; sustainability, unlocks, risk, audits, team, delivery, governance, category share and momentum were left as the July 27, 2026 estimates. Since then, some of those inputs have been checked against public data (November 13, 2026); see Input Sources. Where that changed a scored value, the grades in the right-hand column include it.

Axis I · Credit Grade

Solvency — BB

Solvency screens at BB (52 / 100), unchanged from the July 27, 2026 screen. The worst 90-day TVL drawdown is 36% and 12-month TVL change is -40%. TVL stability is scored on the 12-month decline of 40%, because it is worse than the latest 90 days. Sustainability ratio (1x), unlock pressure (10%) and risk quality (6 / 10) are carried over from July 27, 2026.

Solvency ScorecardBB
MetricRawNormalizedWeightWeighted
Sustainability ratio (revenue / emissions)1x
30%18
Does it earn more than it prints? Above 1x is self-sustaining.
TVL stability (worse of 90-day drawdown and 12-month decline)40%
25%10
Bank-run indicator. Worst 90-day drawdown 36%, 12-month TVL change -40%; the worse of the two is scored, so a calm quarter cannot erase a long decline.
Unlock pressure (next 12 months)10%
15%6
Incoming insider sell pressure vs circulating supply.
Risk quality (collateral, oracle, exploit posture)6 / 10
30%18
Combined collateral quality, price-feed dependence, and loss history.
FINAL DIMENSION SCORE52 → BB
Axis II · Legitimacy Score

Legitimacy — BBB

Legitimacy screens at BBB (61 / 100). No Legitimacy input was refreshed in the November 12, 2026 re-screen, so the grade is unchanged from July 27, 2026. All four inputs are analyst judgment; the evidence behind each is linked under Input Sources.

Legitimacy ScorecardBBB
MetricRawNormalizedWeightWeighted
Audit coverage7 / 10
25%17.5
Code credibility: firms, recency, findings resolved.
Team & transparency7 / 10
25%17.5
Doxxed vs anonymous; track record; disclosure quality.
Delivery vs stated roadmap7 / 10
20%14
Does shipped product match the promise? The core legitimacy test.
Governance & decentralization4 / 10
30%12
Real distributed control vs theater; participation quality.
FINAL DIMENSION SCORE61 → BBB
Axis III · Growth Outlook

Growth — B

Growth screens at B (34.8 / 100), unchanged from the July 27, 2026 screen. TVL is $0.75B, -40% over twelve months (it was -35% at the previous screen). Category share (12%) and momentum (4 / 10) are carried over from July 27, 2026.

Growth ScorecardB
MetricRawNormalizedWeightWeighted
TVL 12-month trend-40%
35%8.8
Adoption of the core product, in absolute terms.
Category market share12%
30%12
Peer-relative position: winning or losing its niche.
Momentum & users4 / 10
35%14
Usage trajectory and integration growth, filtered for incentives.
FINAL DIMENSION SCORE34.8 → B
Input Sources · Checked November 13, 2026

Where Each Number Comes From

Of the 11 scored inputs, 2 are taken from public data, 5 are analyst estimates with the evidence linked, and 4 are under review because the public data disagrees with the estimate or the definition is not settled. An input under review keeps its previous scored value until the review is published.

InputScored ValueStatusSource Or Evidence
Sustainability ratio
Solvency
1xUnder reviewDefiLlama: protocol revenue $1.98M over 12m; total fees $34.6M. DefiLlama has no unlock schedule for KERNEL, so emissions are not sourced. The methodology does not yet say whether "revenue" means what the protocol keeps or all fees paid by users, so the July estimate is still the scored value.
TVL stability
Solvency
36% / -40%SourcedWorst 90-day drawdown and 12-month TVL change, from DefiLlama, parent-level listing, as of November 12, 2026.
Unlock pressure (next 12 months)
Solvency
10%EstimateAnalyst estimate. DefiLlama has no unlock schedule for KERNEL and no other public schedule has been linked yet.
Risk quality
Solvency
6 / 10Under reviewOn April 18, 2026 an attacker drained 116,500 rsETH, about $292M, through Kelp's LayerZero bridge. The 6 / 10 score and the July commentary do not mention this exploit. The score has not been changed yet and is under review, including whether a notching cap applies.
Audit coverage
Legitimacy
7 / 10EstimateAnalyst judgment. Audit reports are published by the protocol.
Team & transparency
Legitimacy
7 / 10EstimateAnalyst judgment.
Delivery vs stated roadmap
Legitimacy
7 / 10Under reviewAnalyst judgment from July. Under review together with risk quality, because the April 2026 bridge exploit bears on delivery as well.
Governance & decentralization
Legitimacy
4 / 10EstimateAnalyst judgment. DefiLlama lists no governance space for this protocol; no forum or voting record has been linked yet.
TVL 12-month trend
Growth
-40%Sourced12-month TVL change, from DefiLlama, parent-level listing, as of November 12, 2026.
Category market share
Growth
12%Under reviewKelp holds $715M of the $937M in DefiLlama's Liquid Restaking category, 76%, but that category no longer includes ether.fi. Against a peer set that includes ether.fi the share is about 15%. The peer set has not been settled, so the July estimate is still the scored value.
Momentum & users
Growth
4 / 10EstimateAnalyst judgment. Evidence: fees in the last 30 days were $2.1M, an annual run rate about 26% below the 12m total of $34.6M.

"12m" is the twelve months to November 13, 2026. Token amounts are valued at DefiLlama prices on that date. Found an error? Tell us; corrections are published with a date.

Verdict

Where Kelp DAO Lands

The credit grade is Solvency BB. Legitimacy is BBB and the Growth outlook is B; the weakest axis is Growth. These grades use TVL data as of November 12, 2026 and qualitative inputs from July 27, 2026.

Credit Grade — Solvency
BB
52 / 100

The credit grade answers one question: can Kelp DAO survive stress and pay its users back. Legitimacy (BBB) and the Growth outlook (B) are published beside it and are never averaged into it. Weakest axis: Growth.

Analyst Note
rsETH; restaking-beta.
Screen vs full rating. This is Methodology v1.1 applied in screening form: the same bands, weights, caps and grade scale as the full Aave workbook (with the v1.1 change to TVL stability described above), reduced to the highest-signal metrics per dimension so the whole universe stays comparable in one table. Screen grades are provisional. A full rating — per-metric sourcing plus four stress scenarios — is produced when a protocol is selected for publication. TVL, 12-month TVL change and 90-day drawdown are from DefiLlama, parent-level listing as of November 12, 2026; every other input is an analyst estimate as of July 27, 2026, unless Input Sources above marks it as sourced, drawn from public data (DefiLlama, protocol docs, governance forums, rekt.news) and judgment, and should be verified before being relied upon.
LRT Peers
ProtocolSolvencyLegitimacyGrowth
Kelp DAO (this page)BBBBBB
ether.fiAABB
RenzoBBBBBCCC
PufferBBBCCC
BedrockBBBCCC

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Analyst Commentary · July 27, 2026

Background From The Previous Screen

Dated commentary. Written for the July 27, 2026 screen under Methodology v1.0. Figures and grades quoted in it are as of that date. Where they differ from the scorecards above, the scorecards are current.

Overview

Kelp DAO's rsETH is a top-three liquid restaking token, now folded into the broader Kernel ecosystem spanning restaking across Ethereum and BNB Chain. The screen scores it as quality mid-pack LRT exposure: competent execution, category-standard risks.

Solvency

Solvency screens at BB. The ~1x sustainability ratio and 10% unlock schedule leave little cushion, and the 45% drawdown mirrors the restaking retracement. Risk posture (6/10) is category-typical: sound wrapper contracts atop EigenLayer's still-maturing slashing stack.

Legitimacy

Legitimacy screens at BBB — adequate audits, an experienced team from the Stader lineage, steady delivery. Governance (4/10) is early, with the Kernel restructuring further concentrating near-term control.

Growth

Growth screens at B: 12% category share and soft momentum against the same tide running out that every LRT faces. The BNB-chain expansion is a genuine differentiation attempt.

Verdict

Composite B. Well-executed beta on a deflating narrative. A full rating would look hardest at what Kernel's multi-chain restaking actually earns, and for whom.