Detecting DeFi Risk, Before It Breaks
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Rating Screen · Methodology v1.1

ether.fi

LRT · ETHFI · $4.3B TVL. Screen grades as of November 12, 2026: Solvency A, Legitimacy A, Growth BB. Largest LRT; expanding into cards/neobank product line.

Data As Of November 12, 2026 Methodology v1.1 (screen, provisional) Previous Screen July 27, 2026 Caps Triggered 0
SolvencyCREDIT GRADE
A
70 / 100
Will it survive and pay users back?
Legitimacy
A
71 / 100
Is it real, credible, delivering its stated aim?
GrowthOUTLOOK
BB
53.8 / 100
Adoption toward the protocol's own goal, peer-relative.
Re-screen · November 12, 2026

What Changed Since July 27, 2026

Input / GradeJuly 27, 2026November 12, 2026
TVL$6B$4.3B
12-month TVL change-30%-49%
Worst 90-day drawdown40%24%
Drawdown scored40% (90-day only, v1.0)49% (worse of 90-day and 12-month, v1.1)
Solvency (credit grade)BBB · 64.8A · 70
GrowthBB · 53.8BB · 53.8

TVL figures: DefiLlama, parent-level listing. The July 27, 2026 TVL was an analyst estimate and may have used a narrower definition, so part of the TVL difference can be definitional. Only these three inputs were refreshed in the re-screen; sustainability, unlocks, risk, audits, team, delivery, governance, category share and momentum were left as the July 27, 2026 estimates. Since then, some of those inputs have been checked against public data (November 13, 2026); see Input Sources. Where that changed a scored value, the grades in the right-hand column include it.

Axis I · Credit Grade

Solvency — A

Solvency screens at A (70 / 100), previously BBB in the July 27, 2026 screen. The worst 90-day TVL drawdown is 24% and 12-month TVL change is -49%. TVL stability is scored on the 12-month decline of 49%, because it is worse than the latest 90 days. Sustainability ratio (2x) and risk quality (7 / 10) are carried over from July 27, 2026. Unlock pressure (1.9%) was taken from public data on November 13, 2026 (see Input Sources).

Solvency ScorecardA
MetricRawNormalizedWeightWeighted
Sustainability ratio (revenue / emissions)2x
30%24
Does it earn more than it prints? Above 1x is self-sustaining.
TVL stability (worse of 90-day drawdown and 12-month decline)49%
25%10
Bank-run indicator. Worst 90-day drawdown 24%, 12-month TVL change -49%; the worse of the two is scored, so a calm quarter cannot erase a long decline.
Unlock pressure (next 12 months)1.9%
15%15
Incoming insider sell pressure vs circulating supply.
Risk quality (collateral, oracle, exploit posture)7 / 10
30%21
Combined collateral quality, price-feed dependence, and loss history.
FINAL DIMENSION SCORE70 → A
Axis II · Legitimacy Score

Legitimacy — A

Legitimacy screens at A (71 / 100). No Legitimacy input was refreshed in the November 12, 2026 re-screen, so the grade is unchanged from July 27, 2026. All four inputs are analyst judgment; the evidence behind each is linked under Input Sources.

Legitimacy ScorecardA
MetricRawNormalizedWeightWeighted
Audit coverage8 / 10
25%20
Code credibility: firms, recency, findings resolved.
Team & transparency8 / 10
25%20
Doxxed vs anonymous; track record; disclosure quality.
Delivery vs stated roadmap8 / 10
20%16
Does shipped product match the promise? The core legitimacy test.
Governance & decentralization5 / 10
30%15
Real distributed control vs theater; participation quality.
FINAL DIMENSION SCORE71 → A
Axis III · Growth Outlook

Growth — BB

Growth screens at BB (53.8 / 100), unchanged from the July 27, 2026 screen. TVL is $4.3B, -49% over twelve months (it was -30% at the previous screen). Category share (45%) and momentum (6 / 10) are carried over from July 27, 2026.

Growth ScorecardBB
MetricRawNormalizedWeightWeighted
TVL 12-month trend-49%
35%8.8
Adoption of the core product, in absolute terms.
Category market share45%
30%24
Peer-relative position: winning or losing its niche.
Momentum & users6 / 10
35%21
Usage trajectory and integration growth, filtered for incentives.
FINAL DIMENSION SCORE53.8 → BB
Input Sources · Checked November 13, 2026

Where Each Number Comes From

Of the 11 scored inputs, 3 are taken from public data, 6 are analyst estimates with the evidence linked, and 2 are under review because the public data disagrees with the estimate or the definition is not settled. An input under review keeps its previous scored value until the review is published.

InputScored ValueStatusSource Or Evidence
Sustainability ratio
Solvency
2xUnder reviewDefiLlama: protocol revenue $43.7M over 12m; total fees $180.3M; $7.4M returned to token holders. DefiLlama's unlock schedule shows the incentive allocation fully distributed, with no incentive emissions in the last 12 months, so the ratio cannot be computed from it. The methodology does not yet say whether "revenue" means what the protocol keeps or all fees paid by users, so the July estimate is still the scored value.
TVL stability
Solvency
24% / -49%SourcedWorst 90-day drawdown and 12-month TVL change, from DefiLlama, parent-level listing, as of November 12, 2026.
Unlock pressure (next 12 months)
Solvency
1.9%SourcedCore Contributors unlock a further 17.4M ETHFI over the next 12 months, against 911.7M unlocked to date outside the DAO treasury: 1.9%. The July estimate was 8%.
Risk quality
Solvency
7 / 10EstimateAnalyst judgment. DefiLlama's hacks database lists one incident: September 11, 2026, about $43,000, in the ether.fi Liquid product.
Audit coverage
Legitimacy
8 / 10EstimateAnalyst judgment. A Zellic audit report is public.
Team & transparency
Legitimacy
8 / 10EstimateAnalyst judgment.
Delivery vs stated roadmap
Legitimacy
8 / 10EstimateAnalyst judgment.
Governance & decentralization
Legitimacy
5 / 10EstimateAnalyst judgment. Voting record is public on Snapshot.
TVL 12-month trend
Growth
-49%Sourced12-month TVL change, from DefiLlama, parent-level listing, as of November 12, 2026.
Category market share
Growth
45%Under reviewThe 45% estimate treats ether.fi as a liquid restaking token. DefiLlama now lists ether.fi Stake under Liquid Staking, where its $3.71B is about 8% of $45.1B. Which peer set applies has not been settled, so the July estimate is still the scored value.
Momentum & users
Growth
6 / 10EstimateAnalyst judgment. Evidence: fees in the last 30 days were $13.9M, an annual run rate about 6% below the 12m total of $180.3M.

"12m" is the twelve months to November 13, 2026. Token amounts are valued at DefiLlama prices on that date. Found an error? Tell us; corrections are published with a date.

Verdict

Where ether.fi Lands

The credit grade is Solvency A. Legitimacy is A and the Growth outlook is BB; the weakest axis is Growth. These grades use TVL data as of November 12, 2026 and qualitative inputs from July 27, 2026.

Credit Grade — Solvency
A
70 / 100

The credit grade answers one question: can ether.fi survive stress and pay its users back. Legitimacy (A) and the Growth outlook (BB) are published beside it and are never averaged into it. Weakest axis: Growth.

Analyst Note
Largest LRT; expanding into cards/neobank product line.
Screen vs full rating. This is Methodology v1.1 applied in screening form: the same bands, weights, caps and grade scale as the full Aave workbook (with the v1.1 change to TVL stability described above), reduced to the highest-signal metrics per dimension so the whole universe stays comparable in one table. Screen grades are provisional. A full rating — per-metric sourcing plus four stress scenarios — is produced when a protocol is selected for publication. TVL, 12-month TVL change and 90-day drawdown are from DefiLlama, parent-level listing as of November 12, 2026; every other input is an analyst estimate as of July 27, 2026, unless Input Sources above marks it as sourced, drawn from public data (DefiLlama, protocol docs, governance forums, rekt.news) and judgment, and should be verified before being relied upon.
LRT Peers
ProtocolSolvencyLegitimacyGrowth
ether.fi (this page)AABB
Kelp DAOBBBBBB
RenzoBBBBBCCC
PufferBBBCCC
BedrockBBBCCC

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Analyst Commentary · July 27, 2026

Background From The Previous Screen

Dated commentary. Written for the July 27, 2026 screen under Methodology v1.0. Figures and grades quoted in it are as of that date. Where they differ from the scorecards above, the scorecards are current.

Overview

ether.fi is the largest liquid restaking token issuer at $6B TVL and ~45% of the LRT category, and it is deliberately diversifying beyond restaking beta — its cash-card and neobank product line is an attempt to attach consumer fee revenue to what began as a yield wrapper.

Solvency

Solvency screens at BBB. A ~2x sustainability ratio is respectable for a young protocol and distinguishes it from pre-revenue restaking peers, but the 40% drawdown shows how tightly its deposits track the restaking cycle, and ~8% annual unlock pressure is non-trivial. Risk posture is reasonable with the caveat that every LRT inherits EigenLayer's still-maturing slashing machinery underneath.

Legitimacy

Legitimacy screens at A: solid audit cadence, a public and responsive team, and consistent shipping — the product diversification arrived on schedule rather than as vaporware. Governance is young and foundation-weighted, which is the main deduction.

Growth

Growth screens at BB. Share of the LRT category is strong and momentum (6/10) benefits from the consumer product push, but twelve-month TVL is down ~30% with the restaking tide. The screen credits the diversification strategy without yet paying for results.

Verdict

Composite BB. Best-of-category positioning with the same structural question as all LRTs: whether native revenue can decouple from restaking sentiment. The neobank line is the differentiator to track in a full rating.