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Rating Screen · Methodology v1.0

Maple

Credit · SYRUP · $2.3B TVL. Maple is the institutional credit story of the screen: an on-chain lender that took real defaults in the 2022 credit unwind, restructured, and rebuilt around overcollateralized institutional lending and its syrupUSD yield product. It is one of only two protocols in the universe with positive twelve-month TVL growth.

Screened July 27, 2026 Methodology v1.0 (screen) Caps Triggered 0
Solvency
A
71 / 100
Will it survive and pay users back?
Legitimacy
A
73.5 / 100
Is it real, credible, delivering its stated aim?
Growth
BB
57.5 / 100
Adoption toward the protocol's own goal, peer-relative.
Axis I · Credit Grade

Solvency — A

Solvency screens at A. Revenue covers emissions ~3x on genuine lending spread, drawdown has been shallow (~25%) through the rebuild, and unlock pressure is moderate. The risk score (7/10) carries the category's essential caveat: credit underwriting risk does not show up in on-chain collateral ratios until it does — 2022 proved exactly that.

Solvency ScorecardA
MetricRawNormalizedWeightWeighted
Sustainability ratio (revenue / emissions)3x
30%24
Does it earn more than it prints? Above 1x is self-sustaining.
TVL stability (max 90-day drawdown)25%
25%16.3
Bank-run indicator: worst 90-day deposit flight.
Unlock pressure (next 12 months)5%
15%9.8
Incoming insider sell pressure vs circulating supply.
Risk quality (collateral, oracle, exploit posture)7 / 10
30%21
Combined collateral quality, price-feed dependence, and loss history.
FINAL DIMENSION SCORE71 → A
Axis II · Legitimacy Score

Legitimacy — A

Legitimacy screens at A, and the score is earned the hard way: the team handled defaults, restitution, and restructuring in public, which the framework treats as demonstrated exploit-response quality applied to credit. Audits are solid; governance is foundation-weighted (5/10).

Legitimacy ScorecardA
MetricRawNormalizedWeightWeighted
Audit coverage8 / 10
25%20
Code credibility: firms, recency, findings resolved.
Team & transparency9 / 10
25%22.5
Doxxed vs anonymous; track record; disclosure quality.
Delivery vs stated roadmap8 / 10
20%16
Does shipped product match the promise? The core legitimacy test.
Governance & decentralization5 / 10
30%15
Real distributed control vs theater; participation quality.
FINAL DIMENSION SCORE73.5 → A
Axis III · Adoption Trajectory

Growth — BB

Growth screens at BB with the best momentum profile of any credit protocol: +10% TVL over twelve months, syrupUSD compounding, institutional pipeline visible. Category share (9%) is the limiting input — private credit on-chain is still small.

Growth ScorecardBB
MetricRawNormalizedWeightWeighted
TVL 12-month trend10%
35%21
Adoption of the core product, in absolute terms.
Category market share9%
30%12
Peer-relative position: winning or losing its niche.
Momentum & users7 / 10
35%24.5
Usage trajectory and integration growth, filtered for incentives.
FINAL DIMENSION SCORE57.5 → BB
Verdict

Where Maple Lands

Composite BB, trajectory positive. The screen's read: a management team that has already been through its crisis. A full rating would center on loan-book composition and counterparty concentration.

Composite — Conservative (Recommended Headline)
BB
57.5 / 100 · lowest of the three dimensions

"A chain is as strong as its weakest link." The conservative composite takes the weakest dimension and inherits any notching cap, so a single structural weakness cannot be diluted by strength elsewhere.

Analyst Note
Institutional credit rebuilt post-2022 defaults; syrupUSD growth; underwriting risk is the watch item.
Screen vs full rating. This is Methodology v1.0 applied in screening form: the same bands, weights, caps and grade scale as the full Aave workbook, reduced to the highest-signal metrics per dimension so the whole universe stays comparable in one table. Screen grades are provisional. A full rating — per-metric sourcing plus four stress scenarios — is produced when a protocol is selected for publication. Every input is an analyst estimate as of July 27, 2026, drawn from public data (DefiLlama, protocol docs, governance forums, rekt.news) and judgment, and should be verified before being relied upon.
Want the full treatment? See the complete Aave rating — per-metric sourcing, four stress scenarios, and notching-cap analysis — for what a published rating looks like. Join the waitlist to get each new full rating as it publishes.