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Rating Screen · Methodology v1.0

Lido

Liquid Staking · LDO · $10.2B TVL. Lido is the incumbent of Ethereum liquid staking: stETH remains the most widely integrated staking derivative in DeFi, and the protocol still commands roughly 55% of its category at $10.2B TVL. The screen reads it as a strong, cash-generating infrastructure asset whose open question is not survival but direction — its growth dimension lags well behind its balance-sheet strength.

Screened July 27, 2026 Methodology v1.0 (screen) Caps Triggered 0
Solvency
A
79.3 / 100
Will it survive and pay users back?
Legitimacy
AA
81 / 100
Is it real, credible, delivering its stated aim?
Growth
BB
56.3 / 100
Adoption toward the protocol's own goal, peer-relative.
Axis I · Credit Grade

Solvency — A

Solvency screens at A. The protocol earns a genuine fee stream on staking rewards (sustainability ratio ~3x emissions), unlock pressure is negligible with LDO long since distributed, and operational risk posture is mature. The main deduction is the ~30% worst 90-day TVL drawdown — staking TVL is inherently ETH-price beta, so deposit value swings with the market even when unit share holds.

Solvency ScorecardA
MetricRawNormalizedWeightWeighted
Sustainability ratio (revenue / emissions)3x
30%24
Does it earn more than it prints? Above 1x is self-sustaining.
TVL stability (max 90-day drawdown)30%
25%16.3
Bank-run indicator: worst 90-day deposit flight.
Unlock pressure (next 12 months)1%
15%15
Incoming insider sell pressure vs circulating supply.
Risk quality (collateral, oracle, exploit posture)8 / 10
30%24
Combined collateral quality, price-feed dependence, and loss history.
FINAL DIMENSION SCORE79.3 → A
Axis II · Legitimacy Score

Legitimacy — AA

Legitimacy screens at AA on deep audit coverage, a long-tenured public team, and a delivery record that includes the successful withdrawal-era transition and dual-governance work. The one structural deduction is governance: LDO voting power is concentrated enough that token-holder control remains more oligarchic than the validator-set decentralization the protocol championed.

Legitimacy ScorecardAA
MetricRawNormalizedWeightWeighted
Audit coverage9 / 10
25%22.5
Code credibility: firms, recency, findings resolved.
Team & transparency9 / 10
25%22.5
Doxxed vs anonymous; track record; disclosure quality.
Delivery vs stated roadmap9 / 10
20%18
Does shipped product match the promise? The core legitimacy test.
Governance & decentralization6 / 10
30%18
Real distributed control vs theater; participation quality.
FINAL DIMENSION SCORE81 → AA
Axis III · Adoption Trajectory

Growth — BB

Growth is the weak dimension at BB. Twelve-month TVL is down ~35% in a sector-wide drawdown, and while category share is still dominant, the restaking and LRT wave has been absorbing the marginal staked ether that once defaulted to Lido. Momentum is middling rather than negative — share is stable, but the frontier of the category has moved.

Growth ScorecardBB
MetricRawNormalizedWeightWeighted
TVL 12-month trend-35%
35%8.8
Adoption of the core product, in absolute terms.
Category market share55%
30%30
Peer-relative position: winning or losing its niche.
Momentum & users5 / 10
35%17.5
Usage trajectory and integration growth, filtered for incentives.
FINAL DIMENSION SCORE56.3 → BB
Verdict

Where Lido Lands

The screen composite is BB, capped by growth rather than by any balance-sheet concern. Lido is a candidate for a full rating on the strength of its Solvency and Legitimacy profile; the watch items for that exercise are governance concentration and whether stETH's integration moat converts back into net inflows when the staking cycle turns.

Composite — Conservative (Recommended Headline)
BB
56.3 / 100 · lowest of the three dimensions

"A chain is as strong as its weakest link." The conservative composite takes the weakest dimension and inherits any notching cap, so a single structural weakness cannot be diluted by strength elsewhere.

Analyst Note
stETH dominance; LDO governance concentration limits Legitimacy.
Screen vs full rating. This is Methodology v1.0 applied in screening form: the same bands, weights, caps and grade scale as the full Aave workbook, reduced to the highest-signal metrics per dimension so the whole universe stays comparable in one table. Screen grades are provisional. A full rating — per-metric sourcing plus four stress scenarios — is produced when a protocol is selected for publication. Every input is an analyst estimate as of July 27, 2026, drawn from public data (DefiLlama, protocol docs, governance forums, rekt.news) and judgment, and should be verified before being relied upon.
Want the full treatment? See the complete Aave rating — per-metric sourcing, four stress scenarios, and notching-cap analysis — for what a published rating looks like. Join the waitlist to get each new full rating as it publishes.