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Rating Screen · Methodology v1.0

Frax

CDP / LSD · FRAX · $0.6B TVL. Frax has reinvented itself more times than any protocol in the screen: fractional-algorithmic stablecoin, then fully-collateralized frxUSD, plus frxETH liquid staking, an AMO-driven lending arm, and now Fraxtal, its own L2. The screen's central observation is that this breadth is simultaneously its differentiation and its principal risk.

Screened July 27, 2026 Methodology v1.0 (screen) Caps Triggered 0
Solvency
BBB
68 / 100
Will it survive and pay users back?
Legitimacy
BBB
69 / 100
Is it real, credible, delivering its stated aim?
Growth
CCC
28.8 / 100
Adoption toward the protocol's own goal, peer-relative.
Axis I · Credit Grade

Solvency — BBB

Solvency screens at BBB. Fee coverage (~1.5x) is adequate and collateralization was decisively de-risked when the protocol abandoned the algorithmic ratio for full backing — a genuinely well-executed retreat. The 7/10 risk score carries the complexity penalty: AMOs, a stablecoin, an LST, and an L2 create interlocking exposures that are hard to reason about as a single balance sheet.

Solvency ScorecardBBB
MetricRawNormalizedWeightWeighted
Sustainability ratio (revenue / emissions)1.5x
30%18
Does it earn more than it prints? Above 1x is self-sustaining.
TVL stability (max 90-day drawdown)35%
25%16.3
Bank-run indicator: worst 90-day deposit flight.
Unlock pressure (next 12 months)3%
15%12.8
Incoming insider sell pressure vs circulating supply.
Risk quality (collateral, oracle, exploit posture)7 / 10
30%21
Combined collateral quality, price-feed dependence, and loss history.
FINAL DIMENSION SCORE68 → BBB
Axis II · Legitimacy Score

Legitimacy — BBB

Legitimacy screens at BBB. Audits are solid and the team is public and technically prolific. Delivery (7/10) reflects a roadmap that keeps widening faster than any single line matures, and governance (5/10) is heavily founder-influenced in practice.

Legitimacy ScorecardBBB
MetricRawNormalizedWeightWeighted
Audit coverage8 / 10
25%20
Code credibility: firms, recency, findings resolved.
Team & transparency8 / 10
25%20
Doxxed vs anonymous; track record; disclosure quality.
Delivery vs stated roadmap7 / 10
20%14
Does shipped product match the promise? The core legitimacy test.
Governance & decentralization5 / 10
30%15
Real distributed control vs theater; participation quality.
FINAL DIMENSION SCORE69 → BBB
Axis III · Adoption Trajectory

Growth — CCC

Growth screens at CCC, the screen's harshest growth reading for a protocol of this pedigree: 4% share, -30% TVL, and momentum diffused across too many products for any one to compound.

Growth ScorecardCCC
MetricRawNormalizedWeightWeighted
TVL 12-month trend-30%
35%8.8
Adoption of the core product, in absolute terms.
Category market share4%
30%6
Peer-relative position: winning or losing its niche.
Momentum & users4 / 10
35%14
Usage trajectory and integration growth, filtered for incentives.
FINAL DIMENSION SCORE28.8 → CCC
Verdict

Where Frax Lands

Composite CCC. The screen's read: sound collateral, scattered strategy. A full rating would need to decompose Frax into its parts — the consolidated view obscures more than it reveals.

Composite — Conservative (Recommended Headline)
CCC
28.8 / 100 · lowest of the three dimensions

"A chain is as strong as its weakest link." The conservative composite takes the weakest dimension and inherits any notching cap, so a single structural weakness cannot be diluted by strength elsewhere.

Analyst Note
Pivot to frxUSD + Fraxtal L2; complexity risk across product surface.
Screen vs full rating. This is Methodology v1.0 applied in screening form: the same bands, weights, caps and grade scale as the full Aave workbook, reduced to the highest-signal metrics per dimension so the whole universe stays comparable in one table. Screen grades are provisional. A full rating — per-metric sourcing plus four stress scenarios — is produced when a protocol is selected for publication. Every input is an analyst estimate as of July 27, 2026, drawn from public data (DefiLlama, protocol docs, governance forums, rekt.news) and judgment, and should be verified before being relied upon.
Want the full treatment? See the complete Aave rating — per-metric sourcing, four stress scenarios, and notching-cap analysis — for what a published rating looks like. Join the waitlist to get each new full rating as it publishes.