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Rating Screen · Methodology v1.0

Convex

Yield · CVX · $1B TVL. Convex is the yield layer that won the Curve wars — the aggregator through which a huge share of veCRV voting power and Curve LP yield still routes. It is DeFi's clearest example of a mature cash-flow asset: the machine works, throws off fees, and has little new to say.

Screened July 27, 2026 Methodology v1.0 (screen) Caps Triggered 0
Solvency
A
70.3 / 100
Will it survive and pay users back?
Legitimacy
BBB
61.5 / 100
Is it real, credible, delivering its stated aim?
Growth
B
31.3 / 100
Adoption toward the protocol's own goal, peer-relative.
Axis I · Credit Grade

Solvency — A

Solvency screens at A. Essentially no unlock pressure on a fully distributed token, moderate drawdown, and fee coverage (~1.5x) from an established position. Risk posture is stable; the protocol's fate is soldered to Curve's, for better and worse.

Solvency ScorecardA
MetricRawNormalizedWeightWeighted
Sustainability ratio (revenue / emissions)1.5x
30%18
Does it earn more than it prints? Above 1x is self-sustaining.
TVL stability (max 90-day drawdown)30%
25%16.3
Bank-run indicator: worst 90-day deposit flight.
Unlock pressure (next 12 months)0.5%
15%15
Incoming insider sell pressure vs circulating supply.
Risk quality (collateral, oracle, exploit posture)7 / 10
30%21
Combined collateral quality, price-feed dependence, and loss history.
FINAL DIMENSION SCORE70.3 → A
Axis II · Legitimacy Score

Legitimacy — BBB

Legitimacy screens at BBB. The pseudonymous founding team has been reliable but low-visibility, audits are adequate for a codebase that rarely changes, and governance (5/10) is vlCVX bribe-market plumbing more than deliberation.

Legitimacy ScorecardBBB
MetricRawNormalizedWeightWeighted
Audit coverage7 / 10
25%17.5
Code credibility: firms, recency, findings resolved.
Team & transparency6 / 10
25%15
Doxxed vs anonymous; track record; disclosure quality.
Delivery vs stated roadmap7 / 10
20%14
Does shipped product match the promise? The core legitimacy test.
Governance & decentralization5 / 10
30%15
Real distributed control vs theater; participation quality.
FINAL DIMENSION SCORE61.5 → BBB
Axis III · Adoption Trajectory

Growth — B

Growth screens at B: 30% TVL decline, 3/10 momentum — among the lowest in the screen — and a product whose addressable market shrinks as Curve's share does. Extensions into Frax and Prisma ecosystems added surface, not trajectory.

Growth ScorecardB
MetricRawNormalizedWeightWeighted
TVL 12-month trend-30%
35%8.8
Adoption of the core product, in absolute terms.
Category market share12%
30%12
Peer-relative position: winning or losing its niche.
Momentum & users3 / 10
35%10.5
Usage trajectory and integration growth, filtered for incentives.
FINAL DIMENSION SCORE31.3 → B
Verdict

Where Convex Lands

Composite B. A bond-like DeFi asset: dependable coupons, no growth story. A full rating would model it explicitly as a levered claim on Curve's fee future.

Composite — Conservative (Recommended Headline)
B
31.3 / 100 · lowest of the three dimensions

"A chain is as strong as its weakest link." The conservative composite takes the weakest dimension and inherits any notching cap, so a single structural weakness cannot be diluted by strength elsewhere.

Analyst Note
Mature Curve-ecosystem cash flows; little new growth.
Screen vs full rating. This is Methodology v1.0 applied in screening form: the same bands, weights, caps and grade scale as the full Aave workbook, reduced to the highest-signal metrics per dimension so the whole universe stays comparable in one table. Screen grades are provisional. A full rating — per-metric sourcing plus four stress scenarios — is produced when a protocol is selected for publication. Every input is an analyst estimate as of July 27, 2026, drawn from public data (DefiLlama, protocol docs, governance forums, rekt.news) and judgment, and should be verified before being relied upon.
Want the full treatment? See the complete Aave rating — per-metric sourcing, four stress scenarios, and notching-cap analysis — for what a published rating looks like. Join the waitlist to get each new full rating as it publishes.