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Rating Screen · Methodology v1.0

Aerodrome

DEX · AERO · $1B TVL. Aerodrome is the liquidity center of gravity on Base — a refined ve(3,3) DEX that became its chain's default venue with Coinbase's L2 as tailwind. The screen scores an execution success wearing a concentration constraint.

Screened July 27, 2026 Methodology v1.0 (screen) Caps Triggered 0
Solvency
BBB
64.8 / 100
Will it survive and pay users back?
Legitimacy
BBB
68.5 / 100
Is it real, credible, delivering its stated aim?
Growth
B
38.3 / 100
Adoption toward the protocol's own goal, peer-relative.
Axis I · Credit Grade

Solvency — BBB

Solvency screens at BBB. Fee coverage (~2x) through the epoch-incentive flywheel is real, unlocks are moderate, and the AMM inherits proven Velodrome architecture. The 40% drawdown and single-chain deposit base temper the score.

Solvency ScorecardBBB
MetricRawNormalizedWeightWeighted
Sustainability ratio (revenue / emissions)2x
30%24
Does it earn more than it prints? Above 1x is self-sustaining.
TVL stability (max 90-day drawdown)40%
25%10
Bank-run indicator: worst 90-day deposit flight.
Unlock pressure (next 12 months)5%
15%9.8
Incoming insider sell pressure vs circulating supply.
Risk quality (collateral, oracle, exploit posture)7 / 10
30%21
Combined collateral quality, price-feed dependence, and loss history.
FINAL DIMENSION SCORE64.8 → BBB
Axis II · Legitimacy Score

Legitimacy — BBB

Legitimacy screens at BBB: proven team (Velodrome lineage), consistent delivery, adequate audits. Governance (5/10) is veAERO plumbing — functional incentive-routing more than deliberative control.

Legitimacy ScorecardBBB
MetricRawNormalizedWeightWeighted
Audit coverage7 / 10
25%17.5
Code credibility: firms, recency, findings resolved.
Team & transparency8 / 10
25%20
Doxxed vs anonymous; track record; disclosure quality.
Delivery vs stated roadmap8 / 10
20%16
Does shipped product match the promise? The core legitimacy test.
Governance & decentralization5 / 10
30%15
Real distributed control vs theater; participation quality.
FINAL DIMENSION SCORE68.5 → BBB
Axis III · Adoption Trajectory

Growth — B

Growth screens at B on the screen's inputs: 8% of the whole DEX category, -25% TVL, fair momentum. The number the screen can't capture: its growth is a call option on Base itself, including Coinbase's on-chain ambitions.

Growth ScorecardB
MetricRawNormalizedWeightWeighted
TVL 12-month trend-25%
35%8.8
Adoption of the core product, in absolute terms.
Category market share8%
30%12
Peer-relative position: winning or losing its niche.
Momentum & users5 / 10
35%17.5
Usage trajectory and integration growth, filtered for incentives.
FINAL DIMENSION SCORE38.3 → B
Verdict

Where Aerodrome Lands

Composite B. Best-in-class chain-DEX execution, entirely long one L2. A full rating would treat Base concentration the way EM debt analysts treat single-country exposure.

Composite — Conservative (Recommended Headline)
B
38.3 / 100 · lowest of the three dimensions

"A chain is as strong as its weakest link." The conservative composite takes the weakest dimension and inherits any notching cap, so a single structural weakness cannot be diluted by strength elsewhere.

Analyst Note
Base-chain liquidity hub; single-chain concentration.
Screen vs full rating. This is Methodology v1.0 applied in screening form: the same bands, weights, caps and grade scale as the full Aave workbook, reduced to the highest-signal metrics per dimension so the whole universe stays comparable in one table. Screen grades are provisional. A full rating — per-metric sourcing plus four stress scenarios — is produced when a protocol is selected for publication. Every input is an analyst estimate as of July 27, 2026, drawn from public data (DefiLlama, protocol docs, governance forums, rekt.news) and judgment, and should be verified before being relied upon.
Want the full treatment? See the complete Aave rating — per-metric sourcing, four stress scenarios, and notching-cap analysis — for what a published rating looks like. Join the waitlist to get each new full rating as it publishes.