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Rating Screen · Methodology v1.1

Sky (MakerDAO)

CDP · SKY · $4.1B TVL. Screen grades as of November 12, 2026: Solvency A, Legitimacy A, Growth BB. Rebrand executed; USDS migration; long solvency track record incl. 2020 Black Thursday recovery.

Data As Of November 12, 2026 Methodology v1.1 (screen, provisional) Previous Screen July 27, 2026 Caps Triggered 0
SolvencyCREDIT GRADE
A
79.3 / 100
Will it survive and pay users back?
Legitimacy
A
76.5 / 100
Is it real, credible, delivering its stated aim?
GrowthOUTLOOK
BB
56.3 / 100
Adoption toward the protocol's own goal, peer-relative.
Re-screen · November 12, 2026

What Changed Since July 27, 2026

Input / GradeJuly 27, 2026November 12, 2026
TVL$8.5B$4.1B
12-month TVL change-20%-33%
Worst 90-day drawdown25%34%
Drawdown scored25% (90-day only, v1.0)34% (worse of 90-day and 12-month, v1.1)
Solvency (credit grade)A · 79.3A · 79.3
GrowthBBB · 63.3BB · 56.3

TVL figures: DefiLlama, parent-level listing. The July 27, 2026 TVL was an analyst estimate and may have used a narrower definition, so part of the TVL difference can be definitional. Only these three inputs were refreshed in the re-screen; sustainability, unlocks, risk, audits, team, delivery, governance, category share and momentum were left as the July 27, 2026 estimates.

Axis I · Credit Grade

Solvency — A

Solvency screens at A (79.3 / 100), unchanged from the July 27, 2026 screen. The worst 90-day TVL drawdown is 34% and 12-month TVL change is -33%. TVL stability is scored on the 90-day drawdown, which is the worse of the two. Sustainability ratio (4x), unlock pressure (1%) and risk quality (8 / 10) are carried over from July 27, 2026.

Solvency ScorecardA
MetricRawNormalizedWeightWeighted
Sustainability ratio (revenue / emissions)4x
30%24
Does it earn more than it prints? Above 1x is self-sustaining.
TVL stability (worse of 90-day drawdown and 12-month decline)34%
25%16.3
Bank-run indicator. Worst 90-day drawdown 34%, 12-month TVL change -33%; the worse of the two is scored, so a calm quarter cannot erase a long decline.
Unlock pressure (next 12 months)1%
15%15
Incoming insider sell pressure vs circulating supply.
Risk quality (collateral, oracle, exploit posture)8 / 10
30%24
Combined collateral quality, price-feed dependence, and loss history.
FINAL DIMENSION SCORE79.3 → A
Axis II · Legitimacy Score

Legitimacy — A

Legitimacy screens at A (76.5 / 100). No Legitimacy input was refreshed in the November 12, 2026 re-screen, so the grade is unchanged from July 27, 2026.

Legitimacy ScorecardA
MetricRawNormalizedWeightWeighted
Audit coverage9 / 10
25%22.5
Code credibility: firms, recency, findings resolved.
Team & transparency8 / 10
25%20
Doxxed vs anonymous; track record; disclosure quality.
Delivery vs stated roadmap8 / 10
20%16
Does shipped product match the promise? The core legitimacy test.
Governance & decentralization6 / 10
30%18
Real distributed control vs theater; participation quality.
FINAL DIMENSION SCORE76.5 → A
Axis III · Growth Outlook

Growth — BB

Growth screens at BB (56.3 / 100), previously BBB in the July 27, 2026 screen. TVL is $4.1B, -33% over twelve months (it was -20% at the previous screen). Category share (55%) and momentum (5 / 10) are carried over from July 27, 2026.

Growth ScorecardBB
MetricRawNormalizedWeightWeighted
TVL 12-month trend-33%
35%8.8
Adoption of the core product, in absolute terms.
Category market share55%
30%30
Peer-relative position: winning or losing its niche.
Momentum & users5 / 10
35%17.5
Usage trajectory and integration growth, filtered for incentives.
FINAL DIMENSION SCORE56.3 → BB
Verdict

Where Sky (MakerDAO) Lands

The credit grade is Solvency A. Legitimacy is A and the Growth outlook is BB; the weakest axis is Growth. These grades use TVL data as of November 12, 2026 and qualitative inputs from July 27, 2026.

Credit Grade — Solvency
A
79.3 / 100

The credit grade answers one question: can Sky (MakerDAO) survive stress and pay its users back. Legitimacy (A) and the Growth outlook (BB) are published beside it and are never averaged into it. Weakest axis: Growth.

Analyst Note
Rebrand executed; USDS migration; long solvency track record incl. 2020 Black Thursday recovery.
Screen vs full rating. This is Methodology v1.1 applied in screening form: the same bands, weights, caps and grade scale as the full Aave workbook (with the v1.1 change to TVL stability described above), reduced to the highest-signal metrics per dimension so the whole universe stays comparable in one table. Screen grades are provisional. A full rating — per-metric sourcing plus four stress scenarios — is produced when a protocol is selected for publication. TVL, 12-month TVL change and 90-day drawdown are from DefiLlama, parent-level listing as of November 12, 2026; every other input is an analyst estimate as of July 27, 2026, drawn from public data (DefiLlama, protocol docs, governance forums, rekt.news) and judgment, and should be verified before being relied upon.
CDP Peers
ProtocolSolvencyLegitimacyGrowth
Sky (MakerDAO) (this page)AABB
LiquityBBBACCC

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Analyst Commentary · July 27, 2026

Background From The Previous Screen

Dated commentary. Written for the July 27, 2026 screen under Methodology v1.0. Figures and grades quoted in it are as of that date. Where they differ from the scorecards above, the scorecards are current.

Overview

Sky — the rebranded MakerDAO — is the longest-running solvency story in DeFi. The protocol behind DAI/USDS has operated a collateralized stablecoin through every crypto credit cycle since 2017, including the March 2020 Black Thursday liquidation crisis it survived and recapitalized from. At $8.5B TVL it still holds roughly 55% of the CDP category.

Solvency

Solvency screens at A. Revenue from stability fees and its RWA-heavy collateral book covers emissions roughly 4x over, drawdown has been comparatively shallow (~25%) for a protocol this size, and unlock pressure is immaterial. The risk posture reflects one of the most battle-tested liquidation engines on-chain — the deduction is for the growing complexity of the collateral book, which now spans on-chain and real-world assets.

Legitimacy

Legitimacy screens at A. Audit depth and track record are near best-in-class, and the Endgame restructuring into Sky and subDAOs was executed rather than merely announced. Governance is the soft spot: participation is delegate-concentrated, and the Endgame's layered structure makes accountability harder to trace than in the old single-DAO model.

Growth

Growth screens at BBB — the strongest growth reading among the large incumbents. TVL is down a comparatively modest ~20% over twelve months, share is holding, and the USDS migration plus Spark subDAO give it live product surface. Momentum is steady rather than accelerating.

Verdict

Composite BBB — investment grade on the screen, the highest composite among DeFi's old guard. A full rating would need to work through the RWA collateral concentration and the Endgame governance topology, but the screen's read is a protocol whose durability is demonstrated rather than promised.