Detecting DeFi Risk, Before It Breaks
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Rating Screen · Methodology v1.1

Maple

Credit · SYRUP · $2.3B TVL. Screen grades as of November 12, 2026: Solvency A, Legitimacy A, Growth BB. Institutional credit rebuilt post-2022 defaults; syrupUSD growth; underwriting risk is the watch item.

Data As Of November 12, 2026 Methodology v1.1 (screen, provisional) Previous Screen July 27, 2026 Caps Triggered 0
SolvencyCREDIT GRADE
A
71 / 100
Will it survive and pay users back?
Legitimacy
A
73.5 / 100
Is it real, credible, delivering its stated aim?
GrowthOUTLOOK
BB
45.3 / 100
Adoption toward the protocol's own goal, peer-relative.
Re-screen · November 12, 2026

What Changed Since July 27, 2026

Input / GradeJuly 27, 2026November 12, 2026
TVL$2.3B$2.3B
12-month TVL change+10%-24%
Worst 90-day drawdown25%29%
Drawdown scored25% (90-day only, v1.0)29% (worse of 90-day and 12-month, v1.1)
Solvency (credit grade)A · 71A · 71
GrowthBB · 57.5BB · 45.3

TVL figures: DefiLlama, parent-level listing. The July 27, 2026 TVL was an analyst estimate and may have used a narrower definition, so part of the TVL difference can be definitional. Only these three inputs were refreshed in the re-screen; sustainability, unlocks, risk, audits, team, delivery, governance, category share and momentum were left as the July 27, 2026 estimates.

Axis I · Credit Grade

Solvency — A

Solvency screens at A (71 / 100), unchanged from the July 27, 2026 screen. The worst 90-day TVL drawdown is 29% and 12-month TVL change is -24%. TVL stability is scored on the 90-day drawdown, which is the worse of the two. Sustainability ratio (3x), unlock pressure (5%) and risk quality (7 / 10) are carried over from July 27, 2026.

Solvency ScorecardA
MetricRawNormalizedWeightWeighted
Sustainability ratio (revenue / emissions)3x
30%24
Does it earn more than it prints? Above 1x is self-sustaining.
TVL stability (worse of 90-day drawdown and 12-month decline)29%
25%16.3
Bank-run indicator. Worst 90-day drawdown 29%, 12-month TVL change -24%; the worse of the two is scored, so a calm quarter cannot erase a long decline.
Unlock pressure (next 12 months)5%
15%9.8
Incoming insider sell pressure vs circulating supply.
Risk quality (collateral, oracle, exploit posture)7 / 10
30%21
Combined collateral quality, price-feed dependence, and loss history.
FINAL DIMENSION SCORE71 → A
Axis II · Legitimacy Score

Legitimacy — A

Legitimacy screens at A (73.5 / 100). No Legitimacy input was refreshed in the November 12, 2026 re-screen, so the grade is unchanged from July 27, 2026.

Legitimacy ScorecardA
MetricRawNormalizedWeightWeighted
Audit coverage8 / 10
25%20
Code credibility: firms, recency, findings resolved.
Team & transparency9 / 10
25%22.5
Doxxed vs anonymous; track record; disclosure quality.
Delivery vs stated roadmap8 / 10
20%16
Does shipped product match the promise? The core legitimacy test.
Governance & decentralization5 / 10
30%15
Real distributed control vs theater; participation quality.
FINAL DIMENSION SCORE73.5 → A
Axis III · Growth Outlook

Growth — BB

Growth screens at BB (45.3 / 100), unchanged from the July 27, 2026 screen. TVL is $2.3B, -24% over twelve months (it was +10% at the previous screen). Category share (9%) and momentum (7 / 10) are carried over from July 27, 2026.

Growth ScorecardBB
MetricRawNormalizedWeightWeighted
TVL 12-month trend-24%
35%8.8
Adoption of the core product, in absolute terms.
Category market share9%
30%12
Peer-relative position: winning or losing its niche.
Momentum & users7 / 10
35%24.5
Usage trajectory and integration growth, filtered for incentives.
FINAL DIMENSION SCORE45.3 → BB
Verdict

Where Maple Lands

The credit grade is Solvency A. Legitimacy is A and the Growth outlook is BB; the weakest axis is Growth. These grades use TVL data as of November 12, 2026 and qualitative inputs from July 27, 2026.

Credit Grade — Solvency
A
71 / 100

The credit grade answers one question: can Maple survive stress and pay its users back. Legitimacy (A) and the Growth outlook (BB) are published beside it and are never averaged into it. Weakest axis: Growth.

Analyst Note
Institutional credit rebuilt post-2022 defaults; syrupUSD growth; underwriting risk is the watch item.
Screen vs full rating. This is Methodology v1.1 applied in screening form: the same bands, weights, caps and grade scale as the full Aave workbook (with the v1.1 change to TVL stability described above), reduced to the highest-signal metrics per dimension so the whole universe stays comparable in one table. Screen grades are provisional. A full rating — per-metric sourcing plus four stress scenarios — is produced when a protocol is selected for publication. TVL, 12-month TVL change and 90-day drawdown are from DefiLlama, parent-level listing as of November 12, 2026; every other input is an analyst estimate as of July 27, 2026, drawn from public data (DefiLlama, protocol docs, governance forums, rekt.news) and judgment, and should be verified before being relied upon.
Maple is the only Credit protocol in the current coverage universe. Compare it against all rated protocols.
Want the full treatment? See the complete Aave rating — per-metric sourcing, four stress scenarios, and notching-cap analysis — for what a published rating looks like. Join the waitlist to get each new full rating as it publishes.
Analyst Commentary · July 27, 2026

Background From The Previous Screen

Dated commentary. Written for the July 27, 2026 screen under Methodology v1.0. Figures and grades quoted in it are as of that date. Where they differ from the scorecards above, the scorecards are current.

Overview

Maple is the institutional credit story of the screen: an on-chain lender that took real defaults in the 2022 credit unwind, restructured, and rebuilt around overcollateralized institutional lending and its syrupUSD yield product. It is one of only two protocols in the universe with positive twelve-month TVL growth.

Solvency

Solvency screens at A. Revenue covers emissions ~3x on genuine lending spread, drawdown has been shallow (~25%) through the rebuild, and unlock pressure is moderate. The risk score (7/10) carries the category's essential caveat: credit underwriting risk does not show up in on-chain collateral ratios until it does — 2022 proved exactly that.

Legitimacy

Legitimacy screens at A, and the score is earned the hard way: the team handled defaults, restitution, and restructuring in public, which the framework treats as demonstrated exploit-response quality applied to credit. Audits are solid; governance is foundation-weighted (5/10).

Growth

Growth screens at BB with the best momentum profile of any credit protocol: +10% TVL over twelve months, syrupUSD compounding, institutional pipeline visible. Category share (9%) is the limiting input — private credit on-chain is still small.

Verdict

Composite BB, trajectory positive. The screen's read: a management team that has already been through its crisis. A full rating would center on loan-book composition and counterparty concentration.