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Rating Screen · Methodology v1.1

Convex

Yield · CVX · $0.48B TVL. Screen grades as of November 12, 2026: Solvency BBB, Legitimacy BBB, Growth CCC. Mature Curve-ecosystem cash flows; little new growth.

Data As Of November 12, 2026 Methodology v1.1 (screen, provisional) Previous Screen July 27, 2026 Caps Triggered 0
SolvencyCREDIT GRADE
BBB
64 / 100
Will it survive and pay users back?
Legitimacy
BBB
61.5 / 100
Is it real, credible, delivering its stated aim?
GrowthOUTLOOK
CCC
26 / 100
Adoption toward the protocol's own goal, peer-relative.
Re-screen · November 12, 2026

What Changed Since July 27, 2026

Input / GradeJuly 27, 2026November 12, 2026
TVL$1B$0.48B
12-month TVL change-30%-54%
Worst 90-day drawdown30%23%
Drawdown scored30% (90-day only, v1.0)54% (worse of 90-day and 12-month, v1.1)
Solvency (credit grade)A · 70.3BBB · 64
GrowthB · 31.3CCC · 26

TVL figures: DefiLlama, parent-level listing. The July 27, 2026 TVL was an analyst estimate and may have used a narrower definition, so part of the TVL difference can be definitional. Only these three inputs were refreshed in the re-screen; sustainability, unlocks, risk, audits, team, delivery, governance, category share and momentum were left as the July 27, 2026 estimates.

Axis I · Credit Grade

Solvency — BBB

Solvency screens at BBB (64 / 100), previously A in the July 27, 2026 screen. The worst 90-day TVL drawdown is 23% and 12-month TVL change is -54%. TVL stability is scored on the 12-month decline of 54%, because it is worse than the latest 90 days. Sustainability ratio (1.5x), unlock pressure (0.5%) and risk quality (7 / 10) are carried over from July 27, 2026.

Solvency ScorecardBBB
MetricRawNormalizedWeightWeighted
Sustainability ratio (revenue / emissions)1.5x
30%18
Does it earn more than it prints? Above 1x is self-sustaining.
TVL stability (worse of 90-day drawdown and 12-month decline)54%
25%10
Bank-run indicator. Worst 90-day drawdown 23%, 12-month TVL change -54%; the worse of the two is scored, so a calm quarter cannot erase a long decline.
Unlock pressure (next 12 months)0.5%
15%15
Incoming insider sell pressure vs circulating supply.
Risk quality (collateral, oracle, exploit posture)7 / 10
30%21
Combined collateral quality, price-feed dependence, and loss history.
FINAL DIMENSION SCORE64 → BBB
Axis II · Legitimacy Score

Legitimacy — BBB

Legitimacy screens at BBB (61.5 / 100). No Legitimacy input was refreshed in the November 12, 2026 re-screen, so the grade is unchanged from July 27, 2026.

Legitimacy ScorecardBBB
MetricRawNormalizedWeightWeighted
Audit coverage7 / 10
25%17.5
Code credibility: firms, recency, findings resolved.
Team & transparency6 / 10
25%15
Doxxed vs anonymous; track record; disclosure quality.
Delivery vs stated roadmap7 / 10
20%14
Does shipped product match the promise? The core legitimacy test.
Governance & decentralization5 / 10
30%15
Real distributed control vs theater; participation quality.
FINAL DIMENSION SCORE61.5 → BBB
Axis III · Growth Outlook

Growth — CCC

Growth screens at CCC (26 / 100), previously B in the July 27, 2026 screen. TVL is $0.48B, -54% over twelve months (it was -30% at the previous screen). Category share (12%) and momentum (3 / 10) are carried over from July 27, 2026.

Growth ScorecardCCC
MetricRawNormalizedWeightWeighted
TVL 12-month trend-54%
35%3.5
Adoption of the core product, in absolute terms.
Category market share12%
30%12
Peer-relative position: winning or losing its niche.
Momentum & users3 / 10
35%10.5
Usage trajectory and integration growth, filtered for incentives.
FINAL DIMENSION SCORE26 → CCC
Verdict

Where Convex Lands

The credit grade is Solvency BBB. Legitimacy is BBB and the Growth outlook is CCC; the weakest axis is Growth. These grades use TVL data as of November 12, 2026 and qualitative inputs from July 27, 2026.

Credit Grade — Solvency
BBB
64 / 100

The credit grade answers one question: can Convex survive stress and pay its users back. Legitimacy (BBB) and the Growth outlook (CCC) are published beside it and are never averaged into it. Weakest axis: Growth.

Analyst Note
Mature Curve-ecosystem cash flows; little new growth.
Screen vs full rating. This is Methodology v1.1 applied in screening form: the same bands, weights, caps and grade scale as the full Aave workbook (with the v1.1 change to TVL stability described above), reduced to the highest-signal metrics per dimension so the whole universe stays comparable in one table. Screen grades are provisional. A full rating — per-metric sourcing plus four stress scenarios — is produced when a protocol is selected for publication. TVL, 12-month TVL change and 90-day drawdown are from DefiLlama, parent-level listing as of November 12, 2026; every other input is an analyst estimate as of July 27, 2026, drawn from public data (DefiLlama, protocol docs, governance forums, rekt.news) and judgment, and should be verified before being relied upon.
Yield Peers
ProtocolSolvencyLegitimacyGrowth
Convex (this page)BBBBBBCCC
PendleBBBABB
YearnBBBBBCCC

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Analyst Commentary · July 27, 2026

Background From The Previous Screen

Dated commentary. Written for the July 27, 2026 screen under Methodology v1.0. Figures and grades quoted in it are as of that date. Where they differ from the scorecards above, the scorecards are current.

Overview

Convex is the yield layer that won the Curve wars — the aggregator through which a huge share of veCRV voting power and Curve LP yield still routes. It is DeFi's clearest example of a mature cash-flow asset: the machine works, throws off fees, and has little new to say.

Solvency

Solvency screens at A. Essentially no unlock pressure on a fully distributed token, moderate drawdown, and fee coverage (~1.5x) from an established position. Risk posture is stable; the protocol's fate is soldered to Curve's, for better and worse.

Legitimacy

Legitimacy screens at BBB. The pseudonymous founding team has been reliable but low-visibility, audits are adequate for a codebase that rarely changes, and governance (5/10) is vlCVX bribe-market plumbing more than deliberation.

Growth

Growth screens at B: 30% TVL decline, 3/10 momentum — among the lowest in the screen — and a product whose addressable market shrinks as Curve's share does. Extensions into Frax and Prisma ecosystems added surface, not trajectory.

Verdict

Composite B. A bond-like DeFi asset: dependable coupons, no growth story. A full rating would model it explicitly as a levered claim on Curve's fee future.